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Euro: Overvaluation and energy risks weigh against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Halpenny notes that EUR/USD remains capped near its 200-day moving average at 1.1630 and is 2.5%-3.0% overvalued in the bank’s short-term model.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Holds breakout near 0.7100
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades almost flat at around 0.7100 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday, but is close to its over two-month high of 0.7130 posted on Monday.
Dow Jones futures drop as soaring US yields, US-Iran friction rattle markets
Dow Jones futures fall by 0.25%, trading around 53,410 during European hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline 0.52% to near 7,730, and Nasdaq 100 futures slip 0.92%, trading near 29,820.
United Kingdom: Stagnation with stabilisation signs – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja notes that while the United Kingdom (UK) economy has exceeded expectations, the labour market remains stagnant, with the jobless rate stuck at 4.9% and payrolled employees falling.
Canadian Dollar: Fragile recovery tied to US – Commerzbank
Commerzbank FX analyst Michael Pfister highlights that the Canadian Dollar’s recent weakness contrasts with a fragile recovery in Canada’s real economy.
New Zealand Dollar declines due to increased risk aversion
NZD/USD depreciates after two days of losses, trading around 0.5880 during the European hours on Tuesday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) holds ground on safe-haven flows amid escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.
United States Dollar Index extends recovery from two-month low; trades above 99.50
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, builds on the overnight goodish rebound from the 99.30 area, or the lowest level since June 5, and gains some follow-through traction on Tuesday.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Pound steadies below the 216.35 resistance area
The British Pound (GBP) edges higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Tuesday and extends gains for the third consecutive day, despite the mixed UK employment figures seen earlier on the day.
Australian Dollar: Upside risk targets 0.7150 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that AUD/USD strength remains intact after a jump to 0.7129, though overbought conditions should confine intraday moves to a 0.7090–0.7130 band.
British Pound: Softer as jobs data cools hikes – ING
ING’s Chris Turner reports a firmer EUR/GBP after UK labour data, with economist James Smith highlighting a cool jobs market and minimal wage pressures, implying little impetus for Bank of England hikes this year.
Japanese Yen hits drift closer to the key 160.00 level as risk appetite fades
The Japanese Yen (JPY) accelerates its decline as the US Dollar (USD) draws support from a sourer market mood, with investors wary of a re-escalation of tensions in the Middle East.
US Dollar: Carry-supported but rangebound near term – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that still-attractive US Dollar (USD) carry and softer United States (US) data, which have reduced the odds of a September Fed hike, should keep the Dollar rangebound.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains sideways around $65, FOMC takes centre stage
Silver price (XAG/USD) continues to trade in a limited range at around $65.30 during the European trading session on Tuesday.