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Euro: Hawkish ECB hike expected to support EUR against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report EUR/USD is flat in North American trade after touching a one-week high, with fundamentals supported by firmer European Central Bank (ECB) rate expectations on higher Oil prices.
Bank of Japan: Outsized hike risks carry shock – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Ma Tieying expects the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to raise rates by 25bps at its September 17–18 meeting, describing a hike as almost certain given solid Gross Domestic Product (GDP), wage and inflation data.
Brazilian Real: Narrowing polls support BRL against US Dollar– ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes USD/BRL is drifting towards 5.05/5.07 as election polls show challenger Flavio Bolsonaro overtaking President Lula in a run-off, with prediction markets still favoring Lula but by a shrinking margin.
Poland NBP Base rate in line with expectations (3.75%)
Poland NBP Base rate in line with expectations (3.75%)
Canadian Dollar: Further gains seen against US Dollar - Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret describe the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as steady despite renewed US–Canada trade tensions and targeted import bans. They highlight improving CAD fundamentals and a lower fair value estimate for USD/CAD near 1.3736.
Why is the Japanese Yen surging when no one is intervening this time?
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to build upward momentum, pushing USD/JPY down to 152.88 before consolidating around 153.26 as markets fully price in a 25-basis-point rate hike from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in September.
Indian Rupee: Inflation risks broadening – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economist Kunal Kundu expects India’s August Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to rise to around 4.8% year-on-year from 4.4% in July, the highest reading under the new CPI series.
Japanese Yen: Intervention risk and JGB appeal – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes USD/JPY slipping back below 153 as markets heed U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s warning on testing Japanese Yen intervention. The report stresses that a sustained move depends on a broader Bank of Japan tightening cycle.
United States Redbook Index (YoY) fell from previous 9.6% to 8.3% in September 4
United States Redbook Index (YoY) fell from previous 9.6% to 8.3% in September 4
Swiss National Bank: Policy rate seen on prolonged hold – Nomura
Nomura’s Anderson, Buckley and Szczepaniak expect the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to keep its 0.00% policy rate unchanged for the foreseeable future, with inflation below 1% and the neutral rate estimated at around 0%.
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 12K (August 15) vs 11.75K
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 12K (August 15) vs 11.75K
Japanese Yen: Peak view holds as policy shifts loom – DBS
DBS Group Research strategist Chang Wei Liang reiterates that USD/JPY has likely peaked for this cycle, with the pair retreating toward 153 as the Japanese Yen (JPY) leads G10 and Asian currencies.
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Upside remains capped near 0.8600 as ECB decision looms
EUR/GBP trades in a narrow range on Wednesday as buyers struggle to extend Tuesday’s rebound. The 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.8599 limits the immediate upside, although momentum indicators retain a modest bullish bias.