Tin tức thị trường
Cập nhật các tin tức, dữ liệu và phân tích quan trọng tác động đến forex và thị trường tài chính toàn cầu.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand: Insurance hike risk balance – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to deliver a 25bp ‘insurance’ hike in July, taking the policy rate to 2.50%, despite the sharp drop in Oil prices.
Turkish Lira: Inflation momentum still too strong – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that June Turkish Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data were better than expected as the energy shock faded, with headline CPI slowing to 32.1% year-on-year and PPI to 28.1%.
Australian Dollar: Softer inflation challenges RBA stance – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that Australia’s Melbourne Institute inflation gauge fell again in June, with both headline and trimmed mean measures easing.
Euro: Range-bound against US Dollar under Fed support – ING
ING’s Chris Turner says EUR/USD is consolidating above 1.1400 as markets reassess European Central Bank (ECB) and Fed paths, with a September ECB hike priced below 50% probability.
162.30: Japanese Yen falls back to near 40-year lows as intervention risks loom
The Japanese Yen (JPY) has resumed its broader downtrend against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday following a mild relief last week.
Japanese Yen: Weakness and intervention risks persist against US Dollar – HSBC
HSBC strategists argue that the USD/JPY pair is trading near its highest level in around 40 years and may have shifted into a new, higher range.
Euro remains depressed against British Pound despite positive Eurozone data
The Euro (EUR) remains depressed near one-year lows against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, hitting session lows below 0.8560 after pulling back from Friday’s highs at 0.8575.
Euro: Choppy range outlook against US Dollar – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that EUR/USD recently fell below its prior 1‑month forecast of 1.15, prompting a reassessment of projections.
British Pound: Sterling strength on positioning and flows – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes that Sterling has been the strongest G10 currency since the Makerfield by-election, helped by a still-sizeable but reduced speculative short base.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Aiming for the 0.8065 area amid wide US Dollar strength
The Swiss Franc (CHF) pares recent gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as fresh frictions in the Middle East are dampening investors’ appetite for risk in an otherwise calm market session.
New Zealand Dollar declines on weaker commodity prices, RBNZ policy uncertainty
NZD/USD trades around 0.5680 at the time of writing, down 0.50% on the day as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains under pressure against a stronger US Dollar (USD).
Japanese Yen: Policy risks support higher yields – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has weakened again, pushing USD/JPY back above 162.00 and coinciding with further selling at the long end of the JGB curve.
Fed Holds in June, Dot Plot Signals Just One Cut for 2025
The Fed held rates steady as expected. The updated dot plot median signals only one 25 bp cut in 2025, down from three projected in March.