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Crude Oil: Elevated upside risk with CTAs max long – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists Ryan McKay and Bart Melek note that CTAs remain maximally long WTI Crude, Brent Crude, diesel and gasoline as attacks on energy infrastructure in Saudi Arabia and Russia sustain a significant upside risk premium.
Brent: Covert tanker flows may ease supply pressure - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s FX Research team, including Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao, highlight that Brent crude has surged on Strait of Hormuz hostilities but see scope for gradual de-escalation in coming months.
Oil: Geopolitical supply risks tilt bias higher – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong says oil risks have risen again as disruptions to Saudi export infrastructure and renewed concerns around the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb keep supply risks elevated.
Indian Rupee likely extends previous week’s downfall on Tuesday
The Indian Rupee is expected to extend its previous week’s plunge against the US Dollar (USD) after a long weekend on Tuesday. Indian financial markets across equity, commodity and currency remains closed on Monday due to Ganesh Chaturthi celebrations.
Brent jumps above $104 as fresh supply threats rattle Oil markets
Brent Oil gains on Monday and trades around $104.20 at the time of writing, up 2.49% on the day. Oil prices benefit from a renewed geopolitical risk premium as tensions in the Middle East revive concerns over potential disruptions to energy supplies.
WTI extend opening gains amid fears of further energy supply risks
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, extends its opening gains in the European trading session on Monday, trading almost 3% higher slightly above $99.50.
Brent: Supply risks keep prices elevated – Danske Bank
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team highlights a sharp move higher in Brent as escalating Middle East tensions threaten key supply routes. The report notes Brent’s jump above USD 107/bbl and warns that closure of Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline could endanger up to 4% of global Oil supply.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Extends recovery above 20-day EMA
The US Dollar (USD) starts the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy week on a strong note, which is scheduled for Wednesday. In the European trading session, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.37% higher to near 99.46.
Equities: Resilience versus rates and Oil shock – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that equities advanced on Friday, leaving the broader market only about 1% lower for the week despite hotter US CPI, higher front-end yields and a sharp Oil rally. Cyclicals outperformed defensives and the VIX stayed below 16.
Brent: Middle East risks support prices – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note Brent is up around 3% as Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline shutdown intensifies supply concerns following recent attacks.
WTI Price Forecast: Retains bullish bias above mid-$98.00s and 61.8% Fibo.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – kicks off the new week on a positive note, reversing a part of Friday's retracement slide from its highest level since May 21.
Canadian Dollar gains support from higher oil prices amid Saudi pipeline disruptions
USD/CAD halts its three-day winning streak, trading around 1.3870 during Asian hours on Monday. The pair inches lower as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) receives support from elevated oil prices.
WTI rebounds toward nearly four-month highs after Saudi pipeline shutdown
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price rebounds after falling nearly 4% in the previous trading day, hovering around $99.40 per barrel during Asian hours on Monday.