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Japanese Yen: GPIF narrative keeps FX volatility elevated – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Japan remains a key source of two‑way FX volatility as markets digest conflicting signals on Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) allocations.
Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Swiss Franc: SNB intervention and cautious policy stance – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley describes how the Swiss National Bank has actively countered safe haven inflows into the Swiss Franc since the Iran war, selling CHF and signalling increased willingness to intervene.
Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Euro climbs above 1.1400 as US Dollar loses ground
EUR/USD trades with a mild positive bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) gives back its earlier gains. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1424 after recovering from an intraday low of 1.1384.
Japanese Yen: Consolidation near resistance band against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux describes USD/JPY consolidating after failing again at resistance near 162.80. The pair is seen in a narrow range, with key support at 160.40 tied to the March peak and upside projections towards 163.70/164.40 if resistance breaks.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening risks watched – UOB
UOB’s Lee Sue Ann and Jester Koh note that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the Official Cash Rate to 2.50% in July and adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks remain elevated.
Canadian Dollar: Supported against US Dollar by steady BoC outlook – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.25%, with markets not pricing cuts until at least Q4.
Kiwi nears 0.5800 as RBNZ tightening hopes offset risk aversion
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) retraced previous losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday and trades higher for the fourth consecutive day, approaching three-week highs near 0.5800.
Swiss Franc weakens as US Dollar rises on safe-haven demand
USD/CHF gains ground for the second successive day, trading around 0.8100 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar rises on increased safe-haven demand amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Flag breakdown supports more downside towards 1.1325
The Euro (EUR) holds opening losses at around 1.1390 against the US Dollar (USD) during the mid-Asian trading session on Monday. The major currency pair faces selling pressure as the US Dollar starts the week on a strong note due to an increase in the appeal of safe-haven assets.
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Edges higher above 184.50, but stays capped by clustered resistance
The EUR/JPY cross trades in positive territory around 184.65 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. However, the potential upside for the cross might be limited as heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could boost a safe-haven currency.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Retreats further from multi-week top but holds above 0.6900
The AUD/USD pair builds on its modest weekly bearish gap opening and retreats further from a two-and-a-half-week top, near the 0.6970 region, touched on Friday. Spot prices drop to the 0.6930-0.6925 area during the Asian session as escalating US-Iran tensions underpin the safe-haven US Dollar (USD).