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US Dollar: Fed path and credibility in focus – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke notes that the FOMC is widely expected to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points after stronger-than-expected August inflation. She argues that a surprise pause would hurt Fed credibility and the Dollar, while a hike is largely priced in.
Why is the US Dollar firm when the Federal Reserve hike is already fully priced in?
The US Dollar (USD) is trading with a firm undertone heading into the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision, supported by a relentless march higher in US Treasury yields that has pushed the 10-year yield to 5.00% and the 2-year yield to 4.66%.
US Dollar: Higher yields and oil support – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that the US Dollar has strengthened modestly as US Treasury yields climb, with the US 10-year yield reaching 5.00% and the 2-year at 4.66%.
Dow Jones futures tick higher ahead of Fed interest rate decision
Dow Jones futures gain by 0.14% to trade near 52,190 during European hours on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures rise by 0.21% to trade around 7,600, while Nasdaq 100 futures advance by 0.42% to trade near 29,080.
US Dollar: Warsh guidance keeps Greenback supported – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky note that markets fully expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates by 25bp to 4.0%, with a surprise hold seen as materially negative for the Dollar.
United States Dollar Index (DXY) eases from two-week top, holds above 99.50 ahead of Fed
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, retreats slightly from a two-week high, retested earlier this Wednesday, though it lacks follow-through selling.
Forex Today: US Dollar firms as markets brace for Fed rate decision
The US Dollar Index (DXY) gained to 99.60 mark on Tuesday, and the bond market drove the move.
100 threshold: United States Dollar Index faces make-or-break Fed decision
The US Dollar Index (DXY) holds firm near a two-week high on Tuesday as traders prepare for the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy decision on Wednesday. At the time of writing, the index trades around 99.66, up 0.17% on the day.
Dow Jones Industrial Average slides as yields beat the Fed to tomorrow's hike
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades just under 52,000, down around 450 points, a day before the Fed's first expected hike since July 2023. Bets in the futures market put the odds of a quarter-point at 92.5%, so Wednesday's vote is not the news.
US Dollar: FOMC scenarios guide Dollar reaction – TD Securities
TD Securities’ macro team, including Oscar Munoz and colleagues, expects the FOMC to deliver a 25bps hike, with the dot plot signaling fewer hikes than markets imply.
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 16.25K
Private-sector hiring in the US has gained further pace in later August. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 16.25K jobs per week in the four weeks ending August 29.
Experts agree: Fed will follow monetary tightening path even beyond September meeting
The US Dollar (USD) outperforms its major currency peers on Tuesday, following strong United States (US) Treasury Yields on expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will remain on the monetary tightening path even after hiking interest rates at the policy meeting on Wednesday.
US Dollar: Consolidation with two-way risks – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong notes the US Dollar Index (DXY) around 99.5, supported by higher Oil, elevated UST yields and softer risk sentiment. He highlights tentative bullish daily momentum and two-way risks, with resistance near 99.80–100.30 and support around 99.30–98.00.