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US Dollar: Fed path and inflation risks – Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo Economics, led by Tom Porcelli and colleagues, expects the Federal Reserve to keep the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% through year-end 2027, with 10-year Treasury yields near 4.35% in 2026 and 4.30% in 2027.
Dow Jones futures slip ahead of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
Dow Jones futures fall by 0.65% to trade around 52,440 during European trading hours on Friday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures decline 0.88% and 1.69%, trading near 7,510 and 28,730, respectively. Traders await the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July.
United States Dollar Index Price Forecast: Loses traction near 23.6% Fibo., near 100.85
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts some sellers following an uptick on Friday, stalling its recovery from a nearly one-month trough, around the 100.35 region touched earlier this week.
United States Dollar Index consolidates above 100.50 as traders look to Trump's speech
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, is seen oscillating in a narrow range just above the 100.50 level as traders await US President Donald Trump's speech.
Fed’s Jefferson: Current policy is well positioned to respond, based on incoming data
Federal Reserve (Fed) Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said that the current policy stance should support the job market and allow inflation to resume decline toward 2% as tariff effects and energy prices pass through, Reuters reported on Thursday.
Forex Today: US Dollar rises on resilient labor data, while Oil and Gold fall
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rises toward 100.80, gaining around 0.3% as stronger-than-expected United States labor-market data supports the Greenback. US Initial Jobless Claims fell to 208K, below expectations of 217K and the previous 216K.
Chinese Yuan: Gradual gains with capped upside against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that USD/CNY has extended its decline on softer United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), with firmer People's Bank of China (PBoC) fixings validating gradual RMB appreciation.
British Pound: Dips against US Dollar seen as buying opportunity – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note GBP/USD is slightly weaker as it gives back part of yesterday’s strong advance, helped by expectations of a centrist, market-friendly Burnham government.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average discovers the virtue of owning few semiconductors
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) added roughly 160 points, or 0.3%, to trade near 52,800 on Thursday while the S&P 500 slipped 0.2% and the NASDAQ Composite shed 0.9%.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Buyers retain upper hand near one-month highs
NZD/USD fluctuates between minor gains and losses on Thursday as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) hawkish stance supports the Kiwi, while a stronger US Dollar (USD) caps the upside. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.5842 after climbing to a one-month high earlier this week.
US Dollar Index: Decline seen overdone – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) has steadied near a one‑month low after softer United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data weighed on Fed funds pricing.
US Dollar: Retail sales slowdown view – TD Securities
TD Securities’ macro team expects June US Retail Sales to stagnate at 0.0% month-on-month, versus the consensus 0.2%. They see weakness led by the control group, negative gasoline sales from falling prices, and a drop in food services, partly offset by strong auto sales.
US Dollar: Losing more ground – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note the Dollar remains under pressure after softer US CPI and PPI data, with FX volatility declining and Brent around $85.