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Dow Jones futures advance as traders expect Fed to hold rates steady in July
Dow Jones futures gain 0.14% to trade around 52,450 during European trading hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.26% and 0.50%, trading near 7,520 and 28,920, respectively.
US Dollar: Growth data guide Fed expectations – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that softer United States (US) inflation has eased pressure for a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) path, shifting focus to S&P Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for confirmation that growth remains resilient.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Steadies above 100.50, with bullish bias intact above key support
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 100.75 in the early European trading hours on Monday.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Recovers to near 0.7000 amid US Dollar’s weakness
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades 0.12% higher to near 0.6995 against the US Dollar (USD) during the Asian trading session on Monday.
United States Dollar Index struggles to lure buyers despite Iran tensions, Fed hike bets
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, struggles to capitalize on a modest Asian session uptick on Monday and currently trades around the 100.80-100.75 region, nearly unchanged for the day.
Forecasting the coming week: ECB decision, UK inflation, and global PMIs to drive markets
The upcoming week will be dominated by the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision, United Kingdom (UK) inflation and labor market figures, and preliminary global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data.
Dow Jones Industrial Average fades its own good news as the hawks take the last word
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades near 52,250 on Friday, down nearly 300 points late in the month's strangest session.
US Dollar Index holds as mixed US data limits upside
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades nearly unchanged around 100.70 on Friday after surrendering part of its initial advance.
US Dollar: Risk-off support and DXY downside risks – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the US Dollar (USD) is broadly firmer as risk aversion dominates, with equities weaker and Oil higher.
US Dollar: Low volatility risks and summer outlook – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky note that DXY-weighted short-term implied volatility has dropped to 2021 levels, despite geopolitical tensions and Federal Reserve risks. Pesole argues that AI-driven equity resilience is anchoring currencies and supporting carry trades.
Breaking: UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen improving to 54.4 in July
American consumer confidence regained momentum in early July, as households grew more optimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.
US Dollar: Steadies on risk-off flows – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that the Dollar has recovered part of this week’s losses as a tech-led equity selloff spurs a modest flight to safety.
US Dollar: Smile narrative supports gradual gains – OCBC
OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by its yield advantage and safe-haven status, with FX moves still fitting the USD smile framework.

