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South African Rand: SARB surprise weighs against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur says the South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) decision to keep its policy rate unchanged at 7% came as a negative surprise, particularly after June inflation rose and Brent crude moved above USD 100 per barrel.
Euro remains capped below 1.1400 despite bright Eurozone preliminary PMIs
The Euro (EUR) ticks up against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday but remains capped below 1.1400, and dangerously close to the year-to-date low, at 1.1324.
Eurozone flash Manufacturing PMI rises surprisingly faster-than-estimates to 52.0
Preliminary HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in the oldest continent expands at a faster pace to 52.0 in July from June’s figure of 51.4. The manufacturing activity was anticipated to expand but at a moderate pace to 51.3.
Germany’s flash Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rises strongly to 52.2 vs. 50.1 estimates
German flash HCOB Composite PMI returns to the expansion trajectory in July after declining in June. Preliminary figures show that the overall business activity expanded to 51.2. The Composite PMI was seen arriving at 49.8 from 49.5 in June.
Forex Today: New wave of US tariffs, deepening Middle East conflict keep markets on edge
Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 24:
Russian Ruble: CBR seen holding rate despite pressure to cut – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects Russia’s central bank to keep its key rate at 14.25%, despite political and economic pressure for a cut. Surging inflation expectations, higher Oil and commodity prices, and accelerating Consumer Price Index (CPI) argue against easing.
British Pound steadies against Japanese Yen following outperformance in UK Retail Sales
GBP/JPY remains calm after six days of losses, trading around 218.20 during the early European hours on Friday. The currency cross holds its ground as the British Pound (GBP) receives support from the release of stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data.
ECB's Kocher: Don't see evidence of second-round effects
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martin Kocher said on Friday that he doesn’t see any hard evidence of second-round effects, but the central bank will act if the inflation outlook deteriorates.
Euro extends rally against British Pound despite strong UK Retail Sales data
The Euro (EUR) rallies further against the British Pound (GBP) as the latter weakens despite upbeat United Kingdom (UK) Retail Sales data for June. The EUR/GBP pair jumps to near 0.8550 in the European trading session on Friday, the highest level seen in two weeks.
British Pound retreats from 1.3340 as bright UK data fails to offset risk aversion
The British Pound (GBP) remains depressed near three-week lows against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with upside attempts capped below 1.3340, and on track for a 1% weekly decline.
Indonesian Rupiah advances as US Dollar struggles despite increasing risk aversion
USD/IDR depreciates after registering over 0.5% gains in the previous day, trading around 18,020 during the Asian hours on Friday. However, the pair may see upward momentum following Bank Indonesia's (BI) unexpected decision to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 5.75% in July.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Surging US bond yields warrant downside
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades marginally higher at around 0.6976 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday.
Euro: Weakens despite ECB rate hike signals against US Dollar – UOB
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research reports that EUR/USD slipped 0.3% to 1.1377 as the Euro (EUR) weakened against the US Dollar (USD) despite the European Central Bank (ECB) leaving rates unchanged and President Lagarde acknowledging some calls for a hike.