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Forex Today: US Dollar holds steady ahead of US Retail Sales
The US Dollar (USD) has softened with the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipping back below the 100.00 mark after Thursday's lower-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data and a higher-than-expected weekly Jobless Claims print trimmed bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening.
One stock wrote the Dow Jones Industrial Average's entire session
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,700 on Thursday, roughly 75 points and a tenth of a percent lower, on a morning when the S&P 500 prints a fresh record intraday high and the Nasdaq Composite runs close to a percent higher.
Carry Trade: Supportive backdrop holds – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that in-line United States (US) inflation and a modestly lower probability of a September Federal Reserve (Fed) hike have left the US Dollar (USD) broadly range-bound while risk assets continue to rally.
US Dollar: Safe haven support versus Fed repricing – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley analyzes the US Dollar’s (USD) evolving relationship with Oil and its safe haven role.
US Dollar: Yield support erodes on weaker inflation – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that softer US CPI and labour data kept DXY locked in a 99.4–100.1 range after the USD/JPY sell-off linked to joint US-Japan interventions. Markets sharply reduced the implied probability of a September Federal Reserve hike.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Capped below the 50% retracement of July’s plunge, at 159.50
The US Dollar (USD) remains practically flat against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, as fading hopes of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in September have undermined speculative demand for the Greenback.
US Dollar: CPI-driven moves point to near-term stability – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG reports that the US Dollar’s initial post-CPI weakness quickly reversed, with the dollar index returning to around 100.00 as markets trimmed but did not abandon expectations for a September Fed hike.
US Dollar: Inflation outlook and Fed path – UOB
UOB’s Alvin Liew assesses United States (US) inflation and Federal Reserve (Fed) policy after the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Liew notes headline and core CPI remain above the Fed’s 2% target but sees inflation gradually easing, with headline CPI averaging 3.5% and core 2.8% in 2026.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Cooling NZ inflation expectations push Kiwi under pressure
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) underperforms its major currency peers, trading 0.45% down at around 0.5830 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday.
US Dollar: Markets remain hawkish after CPI – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that the Dollar strengthened after an in-line US CPI, as markets had positioned for a hotter print.
Dow Jones futures rise as cooling inflation reduces Fed rate hike bets
Dow Jones futures gain 0.08% to trade around 53,910 during European hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures rise by 0.09% to trade around 7,780 and Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.06%, trading near 29,870.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY bulls await trading range breakout above 100.00
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, is seen building on the previous day's sold bounce from the post-CPI swing low and prolonging its weekly uptrend for the fourth straight day.
US Dollar: Fed-driven hedge rebuilding revives selling pressure – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that the July Fed meeting marked a peak in Dollar dehedging rather than an end to U.S. exceptionalism. Cross-border investors are rebuilding USD hedges, reducing effective unhedged U.S. exposure while maintaining broadly solid underlying demand for U.S. assets.