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Cập nhật các tin tức, dữ liệu và phân tích quan trọng tác động đến forex và thị trường tài chính toàn cầu.
Australian Dollar: Carry and growth support potential rebound – HSBC
HSBC strategists argue AUD/USD has room to rise into 2027, supported by Australia’s relatively high cash and government bond yields, which make the Australian Dollar attractive on a carry basis within G10 FX.
Euro: ECB pause seen limiting downside against US Dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the ECB to leave rates at 2.25% this week after June’s 25 bps hike, maintaining a data-dependent stance without new projections.
New Zealand Dollar gains as softer Fed outlook offsets Middle East tensions
NZD/USD moves higher on Monday and trades around 0.5850 at the time of writing, up 0.14% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following the latest US inflation data.
Canadian Dollar: Inflation cools as BoC stays patient – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Abbey Xu notes that Canadian inflation eased in June, with Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowing to 2.8% year-over-year and energy prices reversing part of their earlier surge.
British Pound: Sterling shifts into broader range against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang reports GBP/USD slipping but lacking strong downside momentum, with intraday trade expected between 1.3420 and 1.3475. The prior bullish view has faded after a break of 1.3450 support, and the pair is now seen in a 1.3385–1.3495 range.
Fed: On-hold stance with upside hike risk – TD Securities
TD Securities expects the Federal Reserve to keep the Fed funds rate unchanged through 2026, as inflation stays above target and the labor market stabilizes.
Australian Dollar: Labor data seen reinforcing RBA pause – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Australia’s June labor force report to show a modest 15k job gain and unemployment steady at 4.4%, slightly above the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) projection.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening cycle underpins Kiwi – HSBC
HSBC strategists see NZD/USD supported by New Zealand’s strengthening growth data and an aggressive Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) hiking path. The RBNZ has begun raising rates and HSBC Economics projects 25bp hikes per quarter to 3.50% by Q3 2027.
Euro: Policy divergence supports gains against US Dollar - DBS
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee argues that the Euro (EUR) may find support in coming weeks as markets reassess geopolitical risks and central bank divergence.
British Pound: Market calm under Burnham’s cautious agenda – ING
James Smith at ING highlights that UK markets have reacted calmly to Andy Burnham becoming prime minister, with risk premia contained as investors expect no major policy shocks this year.
Breaking: Canada's headline CPI rose by 2.8% YoY in June
Canada’s inflation has cooled a tad in June, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 2.8% from a year earlier, coming in below market expectations and down from the 3.2% increase recorded in May. On a monthly basis, prices declined by 0.4%.
Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM) unchanged at 0.2% in June
Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM) unchanged at 0.2% in June
Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.8%, below expectations (2.9%) in June
Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.8%, below expectations (2.9%) in June