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United States Retail Sales contracted by 0.6% MoM in July
Retail Sales in the United States decreased to $763.6 billion in July, a 0.6% decline compared to the previous month, the US Census Bureau reported on Friday. This print reversed the 0.2% expansion recorded in the previous month and came in below market expectations (+0.1%).
US Dollar: Mixed data and higher yields shape outlook – Danske Bank
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team notes that US July PPI came in slightly below expectations, with volatile trade and transport services dragging the headline lower while broader services stayed firm.
US Dollar Index: Range-bound Dollar as Fed odds ease – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the USD index (DXY) is trading near the lower end of its recent 99.50–100.00 range as cooling United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have cut implied odds of a September Fed rate hike.
US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index dips to 51 in August
The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index dipped in August to 51 from 55.2 in the previous month, missing economists’ expectations (54.5) and signalling extra weaknening in public confidence.
US Dollar: Looking for a shift in Fedspeak – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that post-CPI summer conditions are suppressing FX volatility and keeping the Dollar broadly stable. They still see scope for a weaker Dollar as market expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening look overstated.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY declines to 99.75-99.70 amid receding Fed hike bets
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, continues to lose ground through the first half of the European session on Friday and retreats further from a two-week high, touched the previous day.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Picks up above 1.3500 amid generalised US Dollar weakness
The British Pound (GBP) pares losses against a weaker US Dollar (USD) on Friday, as a run of soft US inflation figures and growing signs of labour market deterioration have cast doubt about the odds for an immediate Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike.
US Dollar: Carry trades supported as Fed seen on hold – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that softer United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and lower US Treasury yields have led markets to scale back expectations of a September Federal Reserve (Fed) hike, limiting US Dollar (USD) upside.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Hawkish ECB prospects support Euro
The Euro (EUR) trades 0.17% higher at around 1.1550 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The major currency pair gains as the Euro rises due to firm expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will raise interest rates in the policy meeting in September.
US Dollar: Softer tone with falling yields – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar (USD) is trading on a softer footing as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike expectations are scaled back following weaker labour data and a mixed United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) report.
Dow Jones futures steady ahead of US Retail Sales data
Dow Jones futures remain subdued around 53,910 during European hours on Friday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures move little, hovering around 7,820, and Nasdaq 100 futures inch lower by 0.09%, trading near 30,160.
US Dollar: Labor slowdown gives mixed signals for Dollar - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur and Tatha Ghose highlight that despite a “low-hire, low-fire” US labor market, the Dollar remains supported. Initial jobless claims and unemployment stay very low, while wage growth shows only tentative signs of slowing.
United States Dollar Index weakens as cooling US inflation eases Fed rate hike odds
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is losing ground for the second successive day, trading around 99.90 during the Asian hours on Friday.