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Oil: Geopolitical shock tightens conditions – BNY
BNY's Geoff Yu highlights that Brent has surged into the high $90s as Houthi attacks and U.S.-Iran escalation raise disruption risks around the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Bond markets are treating this as an inflation shock, with higher yields and tighter financial conditions.
Gold falls as Iran war lifts Oil prices, Fed rate hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) loses ground on Thursday, snapping a four-day winning streak as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds, while the widening war in the Middle East drives Oil prices higher. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,050 after hitting a two-week high of $4,165 on Wednesday.
European Central Bank: Oil-driven risks to policy path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that Oil and Natural Gas prices have surged since the June European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, reversing optimism that followed the US–Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
European Central Bank: September hike risk builds – ING
ING’s Michiel Tukker expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep the deposit rate at 2.25% at the upcoming meeting, with a September hike seen as likely as Oil prices rise and markets already price in around 23bp.
Gold: Rally capped by rate risks – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Bart Melek notes that Gold has rebounded on dip buying and short covering after key technical support held, with prices near $4,150/oz.
WTI extends rally towards $90 as Middle East energy supply risks intensify
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, extends its winning streak for the fifth trading day on Thursday, is up over 3% at around $88.60 during the European trading session.
Brent: Energy risk premium rises – RaboResearch
Rabobank strategist Michael Every warns that escalating conflict around Hormuz and the Red Sea could push Brent above its current USD 95.5 level and widen crack spreads further.
Oil: Middle East tensions raise supply risks – MUFG
Lloyd Chan at MUFG underscores escalating US–Iran tensions and threats to energy infrastructure and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb.
Canadian Dollar gains traction on rising oil prices as US-Iran war escalates
The USD/CAD pair attracts some sellers to near 1.4060 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. A rise in crude oil prices provides some support to the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) against the US Dollar (USD).
Indian Rupee attracts slight bids on RBI’s possible intervention
The Indian Rupee (INR) trades marginally higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday on possible Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervention in spot and non-deliverable forwards (NDFs) markets to support the currency.
WTI Price Forecast: Tests 6-week highs near $87.50, while bearish bias holds below 100-day SMA
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $87.50 during the early European trading hours on Thursday.
Swiss Franc snaps three-day losing streak against US Dollar, outlook remains fragile
The Swiss Franc (CHF) gains ground against the US Dollar (USD) after a three-day losing streak on Thursday. The USD/CHF pair corrects to near 0.8136 after struggling to extend the advance beyond the yearly high at around 0.8152.
WTI climbs above $87.00 as Middle East conflict threatens key choke points
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends gains for the fifth consecutive day, trading around $87.30 per barrel during the Asian hours on Thursday. Crude oil prices surged as escalating Middle East tensions stoked fears of widespread supply disruptions.