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Euro gains against British Pound as Burnham’s fiscal stance weighs
EUR/GBP gains on Tuesday as doubts over the UK’s fiscal outlook weigh on the British Pound (GBP) following Andy Burnham’s appointment as Prime Minister. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8527.
New Zealand Dollar: CPI supports further RBNZ hikes – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports NZD/USD has rallied toward a seven-week high after New Zealand Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) surprised slightly on the upside versus consensus but came in just below the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) projection.
Aluminium: Output declines on regional disruptions – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlight a softening Aluminium supply picture. Global primary output fell in June on both monthly and yearly bases, even as first-half production stayed broadly stable.
British Pound: Fiscal policy uncertainty and Sterling reaction – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG highlights that the Pound has modestly recovered after losses following Andy Burnham’s appointment as UK Prime Minister, while long-dated gilts remain under pressure.
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average declined to 16.5K in June 27 from previous 19.75K
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average declined to 16.5K in June 27 from previous 19.75K
Mexico Retail Sales (MoM): -0.6% (May) vs previous 0.8%
Mexico Retail Sales (MoM): -0.6% (May) vs previous 0.8%
Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) fell from previous 4.4% to 1.6% in May
Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) fell from previous 4.4% to 1.6% in May
Turkish Lira: Rising inflation expectations pressure TRY – Commerzbank
Tatha Ghose at Commerzbank highlights that Turkey’s market-based inflation expectations for 2026 and 12 months ahead have risen again, undermining confidence in disinflation.
British Pound extends losses nearing 1.3400 as markets await Burnham’s policies
The British Pound (GBP) is one of the weakest performers among major currencies, extending its reversal against the US Dollar for the fourth consecutive week.
163.00: Why the Japanese Yen is close to year-to-date lows again
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to trade on the defensive against the US Dollar (USD), lingering near year-to-date highs just below the 163.00 handle.
Canadian Dollar: Tariffs and soft CPI pressure Loonie – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is underperforming other high-beta currencies after the Trump administration announced a 50% tariff on nearly $20 billion of Canadian imports, excluding energy and some key goods.
British Pound loses momentum as fiscal and monetary headwinds mount
The British Pound (GBP) is facing a notable loss of upward momentum across major currency pairs as UK political headlines and fiscal concerns re-emerge.
Hungarian Forint: NBH easing path and FX pressure – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the National Bank of Hungary (NBH) to cut rates by 25bp to 5.75%, continuing its easing cycle despite recent FX and rates pressure.

