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US Dollar Index: Slips despite yield support – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped from 101.28 to 101 late in the US session, even as the US Treasury 2Y yield rose and crude Oil stayed supported by Middle East tensions.
US Dollar Index: Fed hawks supported by energy spike – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that higher Oil prices and Gulf tensions have driven a bigger reaction in rates than in FX, with Brent near $80 supporting Fed hawks. The US Dollar (USD) is expected to stay firm versus low-yielders, while carry trades in Emerging Markets (EM) have been unwound.
Oil: Rising geopolitical risks and Russian diesel ban – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil has extended its rally as renewed US-Iran tensions threaten the fragile ceasefire and disrupt flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil: Risk premium returns on Gulf supply concerns – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen argues that recent US policy towards Iran has reversed market expectations of a rapid normalisation in Gulf energy supplies, challenging earlier pricing of an Oil supply glut.
Indian Rupee regains ground despite higher oil prices
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The USD/INR pair drops to near 95.40 as the US Dollar ticks lower; however, the outlook of the pair remains bullish as renewed Middle East hostilities have boosted oil prices.
WTI Price Forecast: Fails near 23.6% Fibo. amid mixed technical setup; hovers near $74.00
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – struggles to capitalize on a two-day rally, reaching an over two-week high touched the previous day, and trades with a negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday.
Canadian Dollar gains ground on surging Oil, rising BoC hike bets
The USD/CAD pair loses ground to near 1.4165 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. A rise in crude oil prices provides some support to the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) against the US Dollar (USD). Traders await the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims report later on Thursday.
Iran's Ghalibaf says any US military action will be met with retaliation
Iranian Parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned the United States (US) after two days of renewed US strikes, saying that any U.S. military action will prompt retaliation. Ghalibaf emphasized that access to the Strait of Hormuz remains under Iranian control.
WTI holds above $74.00, close to two-week top as bears hesitate on US-Iran/Hormuz risks
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday and moves away from a two-week high, around the $75.75 region touched the previous day.
Oil: Conflict-driven volatility and positioning – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights growing fragility in global markets as President Trump declares the Iran ceasefire over and U.S. strikes in the Strait of Hormuz reignite Oil volatility.
Gold slides as US-Iran tensions revive Fed rate hike bets, FOMC Minutes loom
Gold (XAU/USD) sees a sharp move lower on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump declared that the ceasefire deal with Iran was “over” during the NATO Summit in Ankara, Turkey. However, Reuters later reported that Trump did not repeat those remarks, citing a source familiar with the talks.
Canadian Dollar outperforms its peers amid rallying oil prices
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) trades higher against its major currency peers, with USD/CAD sliding 0.26% to near 1.4160 during the European trading session on Wednesday.
India: Cheaper Oil supports FY27 deficit target – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economists Anubhuti Sahay and Saurav Anand assess India’s FY27 fiscal deficit outlook, highlighting how lower crude Oil prices reduce the risk of fiscal slippage to about 0.2-0.3% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) versus 0.5% earlier.