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Indian Rupee: Stronger growth justifies extended RBI tightening – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu now expects the RBI to deliver three 25bp rate hikes, taking the repo rate from 5.25% to 6.00% by early 2027, versus two hikes previously.
Forex Today: Risk aversion grips markets as tensions in Mideast escalate further
Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, September 2:
Australian Dollar: Pullback toward 0.7120 favoured against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report AUD/USD volatility picked up as the pair spiked to 0.7181 before sliding to 0.7139, with intraday momentum now skewed lower but seen insufficient to reach 0.7120.
Euro tumbles against Japanese Yen amid fears of another US-Japan joint intervention
The Euro (EUR) is sharply down at around 184.66 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Wednesday. The cross faces intense selling pressure as the Japanese currency outperforms on fresh expectations that the United States (US) and Japan will jointly intervene again.
Japanese Yen: Intervention risk may revive tactical longs - BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu says JPY selling has largely run its course, while USD/JPY’s return toward 160 keeps intervention risk firmly in focus.
Spain Unemployment Change above forecasts (15.4K) in August: Actual (44.419K)
Spain Unemployment Change above forecasts (15.4K) in August: Actual (44.419K)
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Euro pulls back from the top of a triangle pattern
The Euro (EUR) posts moderate losses against the British Pound (GBP) on Wednesday, as the previous two days' recovery has been capped again at a key resistance area between 0.8580 and 0.8585, which holds the top of an ascending triangle pattern.
Equities: Global stocks extend declines as yields rise – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid notes that rising nominal and real yields pressured global equities, with US and European stocks falling and losses extending across Asia. US technology shares underperformed, while European declines were more moderate.
France Budget Balance fell from previous €-106.8B to €-145.91B in July
France Budget Balance fell from previous €-106.8B to €-145.91B in July
British Pound: Downside risk toward 1.3480 against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note GBP/USD broke below its anticipated intraday range, dropping to 1.3507 as downside momentum starts to build. Intraday, they expect a bearish bias with potential tests of 1.3500 and the major 1.3480 support, provided prices stay below 1.3545.
Euro: Pressured as ECB hike looms – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that EUR/USD slipped below 1.1600 as the US Dollar strengthened on a hawkish Federal Reserve stance and geopolitical tensions. The team highlights that Euro area inflation has moved back above 3%, reinforcing expectations for a September ECB rate hike.
ECB's Nagel: Markets see over 95% probability of a September rate hike
The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said on Wednesday that markets see over 95% chance of a September rate hike.
Norway Current Account up to 279.01B in 2Q from previous 266.83B
Norway Current Account up to 279.01B in 2Q from previous 266.83B