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Forex Today: Weekly claims and ISM Services keep the focus on the real economy
The US Dollar (USD) has traded in quite a volatile fashion on Wednesday, always amid the unabated tensions from the US-Iran crisis, speculation over another bout of FX intervention by Japanese authorities and bets for whatever the Fed might do or not do in the next few months.
Dow Jones Industrial Average borrows its rebound from the bond market
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,000 and roughly 250 points higher, having opened just above 52,750, dipped to a session low beneath the rising 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 52,700, and recovered the whole of that ground.
United States Dollar Index loses ground on possible Yen intervention
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades on the back foot on Wednesday as a sharp rise in the Japanese Yen (JPY) forces the Greenback to reverse its earlier intraday gains. At the time of writing, DXY trades around 99.55, down 0.11% on the day, after reaching 99.86, its highest level since August 14.
US Dollar: Fed hike risk and yields back in focus – MUFG
According to MUFG’s Lee Hardman, rising energy prices are pushing market expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening, with 17bps priced for the 16th September FOMC and the 2-year US Treasury yield at a year-to-date high.
US Dollar: Hawkish Fed expectations underpin strength – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that higher Oil prices and renewed US-Iran tensions have pushed global bond yields higher and strengthened the US Dollar, with markets fully pricing a 25bp Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike by October.
Fed's Williams: Recent data have been encouraging on inflation
In an interview with CNBC on Wednesday, New York Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank President John Williams said that tariffs and the Middle East war are big drivers of inflation over target, per Reuters.
US Dollar: Fed expectations support gains – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is supported by widening US-G6 yield spreads and resilient US data, which keep Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike expectations alive in the near term.
United States Dollar Index rises to near 99.85 ahead of US ADP Employment data
The US Dollar (USD) reflects strength against its currency peers on Wednesday as United States bond yields surge further due to rising oil prices and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
Dow Jones futures steady amid bond selloff, rising geopolitical tensions
Dow Jones futures inch higher by 0.05% to trade near 52,850 during European hours on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.4%, to trade around 7,640, while Nasdaq 100 futures lose 0.19% to trade around 29,070.
Breaking: United States private sector employment rises by 38K in August vs. 47K expected
Employment in the United States' (US) private sector increased by 38K in August, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported on Wednesday. This print followed the 46K increase (revised from 44K) recorded in July and came in below the market expectation of 47K.
US Dollar: Fed story supports renewed strength – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes the Dollar is holding gains after Kevin Warsh’s hawkish comments and a renewed spike in energy prices, with markets now expecting a Federal Reserve rate hike in September.
US Dollar: August inflation key to September Fed decision - Commerzbank
Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank highlights that markets now price nearly a 70% chance of a September Fed hike after Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish speech, but stresses upcoming US inflation data will be decisive.
US Dollar Index gains as US-Iran tensions escalate, Treasury yields rise
The US Dollar Index (DXY) edges higher on Tuesday, reversing all of the previous day’s losses as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations and rising US Treasury yields provide a strong tailwind.