US: War shock keeps prices elevated – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Philip Marey and Kan Ji argue that higher global Oil prices from the Iran conflict will push US inflation higher and keep it more persistent.
Forex Today: Markets turn risk-averse as ceasefire optimism fades
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, March 26:
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Holds onto gains near 159.50 following US Dollar’s footprints
The USD/JPY pair trades sideways around 159.40 during the European trading session on Thursday. The pair seems to be following the footprints of the US Dollar (USD), which clings to the previous day’s high amid uncertainty surrounding the war in the Middle East.
NOK: Hawkish tone in focus – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analyst Michael Pfister notes that the central bank of Norway, Norges Bank is set to decide policy after previously signalling only gradual cuts, making a rate reduction unlikely, especially following the Iran war.
Equities: Cyclicals lead as geopolitical reversal trade extends – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes global equities extended gains, with Stoxx 600 up 1.4% and S&P 500 up 0.5% in a geopolitical reversal trade. Cyclicals outperformed defensives, though investors remain only cautiously optimistic.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Bulls retain control above 1.3800 as fresh breakout comes into play
The USD/CAD pair prolongs its weekly uptrend for the fourth successive day and climbs to over a two-month high during the early European session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3820 region, up 0.10% for the day, and seem poised to appreciate further.
Sweden Trade Balance (MoM) down to 1.8B in February from previous 6.3B
Sweden Trade Balance (MoM) down to 1.8B in February from previous 6.3B
Sweden Trade Balance (MoM) rose from previous 6.3B to 162B in February
Sweden Trade Balance (MoM) rose from previous 6.3B to 162B in February
Germany GfK Consumer Confidence Survey came in at -28, below expectations (-26.5) in April
Germany GfK Consumer Confidence Survey came in at -28, below expectations (-26.5) in April
ECB: Weighs conflict-driven inflation risks – Rabobank
Rabobank strategist Molly Schwartz highlights that the Eurozone is already economically exposed to the conflict via higher energy prices.
EUR/HUF: Volatility risks stay elevated – ING
ING economists Peter Virovacz and Zoltán Homolya expect the Hungarian Forint to remain volatile as geopolitical tensions and the April 2026 elections weigh on sentiment.
ECB’s Nagel: April rate hike certainly an option
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Bundesbank chief Joachim Nagel said during European trading hours on Thursday that an interest rate hike in the April policy meeting is certainly an option.