Canada: Tariff shock lessons shape policy – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts review how Canada has weathered one year of U.S. tariff shocks. They note that Canada’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and unemployment held up, but sectoral and regional damage was significant.

Iran’s IRGC: Will manage Strait of Hormuz proactively

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) stated on Wednesday that Iran will manage the Strait of Hormuz proactively and control it intelligently, while warning of a stronger response to any renewed attacks from the United States (US) or Israel, per Reuters.

RBNZ: Hold at 2.25% with tightening bias – BNY

BNY's Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage at notes that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% as the Middle East conflict altered the outlook, lifting near‑term inflation risks while weighing on growth.

USD/BRL: Targets 5.55 by end-2026 – Rabobank

Rabobank economists Mauricio Une and Renan Alves note that the Dollar (USD) closed last week at 5.1573, with the Brazilian Real (BRL) appreciating 1.6% over the week, ranking among the top emerging-market performers.

Oil: Prices slump below $100 on ceasefire – ING

ING’s commodities team of Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson report that Oil prices have dropped sharply, with Brent and WTI falling well below $100 as a US–Iran two‑week ceasefire eases supply disruption fears.

Oil
USD: Relief-driven downside potential – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the US-Iran ceasefire has pushed financial markets into relief mode, with Brent, equities and bonds reacting positively and the Dollar falling sharply.