USD/INR: Range risks and oil sensitivity – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan expects USD/INR to remain range-bound, projecting a base-case trading band between 94.00 and 95.00 over time, with a wider 97.00–98.00 range in a risk scenario of rising Oil prices.

Oil
Oil: Ceasefire confusion keeps supply risks elevated – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that Brent crude dropped sharply on the initial US-Iran ceasefire headlines but remains sensitive to Middle East supply risks. The Strait of Hormuz is still blocked, with Iran only indicating a possible reopening later this week.

Oil
AUD/USD: Overdone rally shifts into range phase – UOB

UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that AUD/USD’s sharp advance has stalled below 0.7100, with price action now seen as part of a consolidation band between 0.7000 and 0.7080.

Equities: Relief rally faces ceasefire uncertainty – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team highlights a sharp global equities rally after the Iran ceasefire headlines, with benchmarks now just about 2% below record highs. Cyclicals and semiconductors led gains, while energy and minimum volatility lagged.

USD: Focus on Inflation and Fed tensions risk – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that the Iran ceasefire is fragile and warns against expecting Oil prices to quickly return to pre-war levels. She notes that US inflation data, including CPI and the PCE index, are likely to reflect higher energy costs over time.

FED