IRGC warns retaliation against US blockade

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said during European trading hours on Wednesday that it will not allow imports and exports in the Gulf, and the Sea of Oman if the US blockade in the Strait of Hormuz against Iran's vessels continues.

USD/CAD bounces up and nears 1.3800 amid mixed messages on Iran

The US Dollar (USD) is trimming some losses against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) on Wednesday. The pair trades at 1.3775 at the time of writing, after bouncing up from Tuesday’s lows near 1.3730, although it remains more than 1% below last week’s highs.

USD: Focus shifts to Beige Book – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists note a sharp rally in US rates alongside a risk-on move in equities, with the S&P 500 nearing record highs after softer PPI data. They estimate March core PCE at 0.26% month-on-month.

EUR: ECB seen between baseline and adverse paths – Danske Bank

Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team says ECB President Lagarde reiterated a data-dependent stance, offering no firm forward guidance. The bank argues this reduces the likelihood of an April move unless key data show clear upside price pressures.

NOK: Policy shift supports restrictive stance – Commerzbank

Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank highlights that Norges Bank has turned more hawkish after the Middle East war pushed up energy prices and inflation risks. The policy rate remains at 4%, but guidance and the rate path now signal a hike in June and possibly further moves later in 2026.