Fed: Powell focus as policy steady – UBS

UBS' Chief Economist Paul Donovan notes that the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep policy unchanged, with attention centered on Fed Chair Powell’s press conference. Markets are looking for Powell’s reaction to Oil prices, the war and implications for US retail gasoline.

FED
USD: Fed Dot Plot risks support – ING

ING strategist Francesco Pesole argues that a hawkish revision of the Federal Reserve Dot Plot could support the Dollar, with markets already pricing limited cuts.

FED
GBP/USD: Recovery extends but upside limited – UOB

According to UOB’s Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD rebounded to 1.3364 and may edge higher toward 1.3410, though a clear break above that level is seen as unlikely given only modest momentum. Intraday, gains are expected to stay below 1.3390, with support at 1.3335 and 1.3320.

AUD: Policy divergence underpins outperformance – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note the Australian Dollar recovered after the RBA’s 5–4 split decision to deliver a second consecutive 25bp hike to 4.10%, with Governor Bullock’s remarks seen as hawkish.

Fed: FOMC to keep policy options open on conflict risks – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny expects the FOMC to keep policy options open, with limited changes to the Summary of Economic Projections and no alteration to the median dot profile. MUFG anticipates balanced Fed communication and subdued FX and rates volatility.

FED