EUR/GBP weakens below 0.8650 as traders await ECB, BoE rate decisions

The EUR/GBP cross loses ground to near 0.8635, snapping the four-day winning streak during the early European session on Wednesday. Markets are in a "wait-and-see" mode ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decisions later on Thursday. 

TRY: High energy sensitivity and policy pressure – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas underlines Türkiye’s acute sensitivity to higher energy prices and exchange rate moves. The report notes a large energy deficit, strong exchange rate pass‑through and a sharp rise in local yields, as markets price faster monetary tightening.

AUD: Positive terms of trade offsets geopolitical risk – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists Prashant Newnaha and Alex Loo maintain a constructive stance on the Australian Dollar (AUD) despite the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) close 5-4 vote. A positive terms of trade shock and increased hedging by Australian pension funds underpin AUD outperformance in G10.

Aluminium: Gulf cuts tighten supply outlook – ING

ING’s Commodities Strategist Ewa Manthey highlights that recent output cuts at Alba and Qatalum tighten the Aluminium supply outlook, with Gulf disruptions now affecting a notable share of regional production.