Dow Jones futures gain on easing risk aversion, lower oil prices

Dow Jones futures rise, up by 0.81%, above 45,800 during European hours, ahead of the United States (US) regular market open on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.78% and 0.54% to near 6,440 and 23,260, respectively, at the time of writing.

Oil
ECB: War-driven energy shock shapes rate path – Nomura

Nomura analyst Andrzej Szczepaniak argues that March Euro area inflation will not significantly alter the ECB’s near-term policy stance. They expect policy rates to stay unchanged through Q4 2027, with the Iran war and its impact on Brent crude and energy prices now the key driver of ECB decisions.

USD/JPY: Early hike risk grows with 160 test – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia and Chong Hoon Park note that new Bank of Japan (BoJ) data show underlying inflation near or above target and a positive output gap, while USD/JPY testing 160 raises the risk of earlier rate hikes than their current Q3 baseline.