EUR/USD weakens on risk-off sentiment, which could be attributed to the United States (US)-Iran peace talk failure. The pair is trading around 1.1670 during the Asian hours after opening at a gap down on Monday.
Citing officials and people familiar with the situation, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on Monday that White House advisers are considering resuming limited military strikes in Iran along with the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as a way to break a deadlock in peace talks.
AUD/USD recovers slightly after a gap-down open but remains in negative territory, trading around 0.7010 during the Asian hours on Monday.
New Zealand Business NZ PSI declined to 46 in March from previous 48
Here’s all you need to know about the developments in the Middle East war that took place over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on the markets in the upcoming week.
ING’s Chief Economist for Greater China, Lynn Song, notes that China’s CPI inflation eased to 1.0% year-on-year after Lunar New Year, while PPI turned positive for the first time since 2022.
DBS Group Research expects Malaysia’s 1Q26 advance Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to grow 5.5% year-on-year, slightly below 6.3% in 4Q25 but still robust. Growth is seen supported by export-oriented electrical and electronics manufacturing, global AI tailwinds, construction and domestic demand.
TD Securities expects China’s March exports to normalize after a strong Jan–Feb report, while imports could surprise on the upside as authorities stockpile key goods and commodities during the US–Iran conflict. Rising input costs may slow production and weigh on exports.
ING’s Min Joo Kang notes that KRW is trading below 1,500, with near-term moves heavily dependent on Middle East developments. The team keeps its 1,450–1,550 trading range, expecting KRW to strengthen rapidly if the war ends.
DBS Group Research expects Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports to rise for a seventh consecutive month in March 2026, accelerating to 10.3% year-on-year from 4.0% in February.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is poised to end Friday’s session flat against the US Dollar (USD), even though an improvement in market mood drove the Greenback toward four-week lows near 98.52, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY).
Mary Daly, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco, told Reuters in an interview on Friday that if Iran conflict is resolved quickly and Oil prices come back down, a rate cut may not be out of the question.
