Oil: Supply risks and reserves shape outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Commodity Analyst Carsten Fritsch compares current Oil disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz blockade with the 1970s oil crises, highlighting record supply shortfalls and potential demand and supply adjustments over time.

Oil
USD/THB: Overbought but still upside risks – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/THB has risen over 4% month‑to‑date as markets scaled back expectations for near‑term Fed easing and Oil prices surged, hurting Thailand’s terms of trade.

GBP/JPY holds steady as traders eye BoE and BoJ rate decisions

The British Pound (GBP) trades broadly flat against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Tuesday as a thin economic calendar keeps price action subdued, with attention firmly shifting to the Bank of England (BoE) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decisions due on Thursday.

Canada: Strong wealth boost with record net worth – NBC

National Bank of Canada (NBC) analyst Matthieu Arseneau highlights that Canadian households saw net worth rise 5.8% in 2025, reaching a record high, as financial assets outpaced modest credit growth. The S&P/TSX delivered a 31.7% total return, aided by higher Gold prices.

USD: War-driven support and Asia FX risks – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Global Head of FX Research George Saravelos notes that the Iran war has made markets highly correlated to energy, with higher Oil prices and weaker global growth now supporting the Dollar. Asia FX is seen as central to broad Dollar direction and is being hit hardest.