Market News
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Gold stalls below $4,150 as rising US yields offset Fed relief
Gold (XAU/USD) prices drift lower on Monday as a strong US Dollar and high US Treasury yields undermine the precious metal, which has failed to rally as investors expect a less hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) and have priced out a rate hike this month.
Markets just priced out rate hikes on financial stress. This chart shows why 2022-23 says they’ll be wrong
Traders have taken about one quarter-point hike out of their European Central Bank (ECB) forecasts since mid-September, betting the ECB will stop raising rates because of a French debt selloff.
Japanese Yen weakens as wide yield gap supports US Dollar
The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains on the back foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday as the wide yield differential continues to favour the Greenback, while broader structural headwinds weigh on the Japanese currency. At the time of writing, USD/JPY trades around 158.10, up 0.17% on the day.
Forex Today: PMIs in Europe and Fedspeak will do the rounds
The US Dollar (USD) has picked up extra pace on Monday, reaching fresh tops on the back of persistent safe-haven demand, while fiscal concerns in Europe continued to weigh on the broader risk complex.
United States: Domestic rare earth production push – ING
ING’s report by Coco Zhang and Ewa Manthey explains how the United States is enhancing domestic Rare earth production. Federal support now includes grants, loans, equity stakes, purchase agreements and price floors for key products like NdPr oxide and magnets.
British Pound slides as France fiscal shock lifts the US Dollar
The Pound Sterling (GBP) dives more than 0.19% against the US Dollar (USD) at the beginning of the week, despite a dip in US services sector activity and elevated US Treasury yields. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3218 at the time of writing.
EUR/CHF Price Forecast: 100-day SMA limits immediate downside
EUR/CHF holds modest losses on Monday as growing fiscal concerns in France weigh on the Euro (EUR).
Australian Dollar edges higher despite robust US services
AUD/USD advances on Monday, trading around 0.6970 at the time of writing, up 0.34% on the day. The pair manages to gain ground despite persistent strength in the US Dollar (USD), which remains supported by elevated Treasury yields and weakness in the Euro (EUR).
Euro: Fiscal stress and fewer ECB hikes weigh against US Dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports the Euro (EUR) is underperforming major currencies, with EUR/USD briefly hitting 1.1161, its lowest since May 2025. Elias Haddad flags France’s budget crisis spilling into wider Eurozone bond markets and complicating potential European Central Bank (ECB) Transmission Protection Instrument activation, leaving the Euro pressured by rising fiscal risk and expectations of a shallower ECB hiking cycle.
Dollar Index hits an 18-month high on French debt fears
France's government owes close to 120% of what its economy produces in a year. The gap between what France and Germany pay to borrow for 10 years reached about 1.5 percentage points on Friday, the widest since 2011.
Canadian Dollar attracts fresh buying after touching multi-month low
USD/CAD reverses its earlier gains on Monday as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) outperforms its major peers, while the US Dollar (USD) consolidates after mixed US business activity data.
South Korean Won: Strong exports and policy support KRW – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Moses Lim notes that USD/KRW declined on Friday and over the week as robust South Korean exports and supportive policy actions bolstered the Korean Won. Elevated but easing inflation allows the Bank of Korea to stay hawkish while likely holding rates in October.
Indonesian Rupiah: Limited relief, challenging backdrop – OCBC
Christopher Wong at OCBC expects the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) to see some near-term relief from softer United States (US) payrolls and a wider trade surplus, with policymakers emphasizing IDR stability.