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Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index down to 61.9 in September from previous 62.7
Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index down to 61.9 in September from previous 62.7
Polish Zloty: Policy on hold as inflation stays near band – ING
ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak expect the National Bank of Poland (NBP) to keep its policy rate at 3.75% at the 7 October Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting. They see November as the earliest point for any change, with fresh projections available, and currently anticipate two 25bp rate hikes in the first quarter of 2027 as inflation risks persist.
Japanese Yen: Range trade holds against US Dollar as Fed path questioned – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley says markets see limited scope for another Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy move at the October meeting, with expectations instead centred on December.
Japanese Yen underperforms despite signals of further BoJ tightening
USD/JPY holds firm on Tuesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) trades on the defensive across the board. However, a softer US Dollar (USD), weighed down by a pullback in US Treasury yields, and intervention concerns around the 160 level limit the upside, keeping the pair range-bound.
Gold: Downtrend eyes $4,000 support zone – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that Gold has extended its pullback after failing to hold above the 200-day moving average near $4,510–$4,540. Prices are drifting toward an interim projection around $4,095, with a break of this level seen opening downside toward $4,000 and the June/July troughs at $3,960–$3,940, which mark the lower boundary of a critical multi-month support range.
United States Redbook Index (YoY) above expectations (0%) in October 2: Actual (8.6%)
United States Redbook Index (YoY) above expectations (0%) in October 2: Actual (8.6%)
Indian Rupee: Bearish bias with RBI support – DBS
DBS Bank’s Radhika Rao notes that onshore financial markets are under pressure from global developments, with foreign portfolio investors pulling out around $6.3bn and USD/INR trading back above 96.00.
US Dollar: Resilient but upside seen limited – TD Securities
TD Securities notes the US economy and labor market are resilient but not overheating, leading them to push Fed rate hike calls to December 2026 and March 2027. They believe market pricing for Fed hawkishness has peaked and see it as hard to derive persistently bullish Dollar signals from Fed and data alone, even as their scorecard still ranks the USD highest.
United States Goods Trade Balance came in at $-132.07B below forecasts ($0B) in August
United States Goods Trade Balance came in at $-132.07B below forecasts ($0B) in August
Canada International Merchandise Trade came in at $4.2B, above expectations ($1.7B) in August
Canada International Merchandise Trade came in at $4.2B, above expectations ($1.7B) in August
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance below forecasts ($-102B) in August: Actual ($-105.6B)
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance below forecasts ($-102B) in August: Actual ($-105.6B)
Canada Exports above forecasts ($0B) in August: Actual ($77.91B)
Canada Exports above forecasts ($0B) in August: Actual ($77.91B)
Canada International Merchandise Trade came in at $4.19B, above expectations ($1.7B) in August
Canada International Merchandise Trade came in at $4.19B, above expectations ($1.7B) in August