Market News
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Natural gas: Tight European balance and storage risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke stresses that European natural gas remains structurally tighter than Oil as Qatar LNG is cut off and US cargoes are redirected to Asia.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds gains but struggles for fresh momentum
Silver (XAG/USD) trades on the front foot on Friday but lacks strong follow-through and remains within the narrow range seen this week. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $65 after bouncing from an intraday low of $63.51.
Euro: Spreads support upside bias against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report EUR/USD trading in the mid-1.15s with modest gains versus the US Dollar (USD), supported by euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and a return to trade surplus.
EUR/GBP stuck in a tight range as traders observe the war
EUR/GBP has traded in a tight range around the mid-0.8500s on Friday, little changed on the day. The latest Eurozone figures came in close to forecasts, and they did nothing to push the pair out of the range it has held all week.
ASEAN FX: Regional data and growth concerns – MUFG
MUFG analysts focus on several ASEAN indicators for regional currencies. They flag Singapore’s July non-oil domestic exports after June’s strong 20.7% year-on-year rise, and expect Malaysia’s CPI to stay contained at 1.9% year-on-year.
Canada: Core softness guides BoC path – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Robert Both expects Canadian headline CPI to rise to 2.9% year-on-year in July, driven by higher gasoline and food prices, while ex. food/energy components stay muted.
Indonesia: Policy continuity supports Rupiah – ING
ING’s Lynn Song expects Bank Indonesia to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 5.75% this week, prioritizing Rupiah stability while avoiding an immediate hike. The report highlights BI’s growing reliance on non-rate tools such as SRBI yields and FX intervention.
British Pound hits three-month high as weak US sales deepen USD slide
The Pound Sterling (GBP) rises by some 0.40% on Friday as a batch of US data supports a Federal Reserve (Fed) dovish stance, with consumer sentiment deteriorating while the disinflation process showed further progress.
Japanese Yen: Policy risks support gains against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe USD/JPY trading near 159, with modest Japanese Yen (JPY) gains offering reassurance to the Ministry of Finance (MoF) after recent weakness.
Copper: Rally pauses as Chinese demand signal softens – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Barbara Lambrecht observes that despite falling LME Copper stocks and trimmed output guidance from a major producer, the recent Copper rally is losing momentum.
Norwegian Krone: Range-bound near term, stronger in 2027 against Euro – Nordea
Nordea strategists see the Norwegian Krone (NOK) broadly stable over the next six months after July’s EUR/NOK decline, driven by higher Oil prices and Norges Bank’s increased NOK purchases.
US Dollar: Data-driven outlook in focus – MUFG
MUFG analysts Lin Li, Michael Wan, Lloyd Chan and Khang Sek Lee note that upcoming US economic data will be crucial for the US Dollar outlook.
Euro gains against Japanese Yen as ECB, BoJ rate hike bets intensify
EUR/JPY rises 0.15% on Friday and trades around 184.15 at the time of writing. The pair remains supported despite growing expectations that Japan could raise interest rates as soon as September, while investors also anticipate further monetary tightening in the Eurozone.