Market News
Stay on top of the major news, data and analysis moving forex and global financial markets.
New Zealand Dollar retreats from recent highs on weak Retail Sales
NZD/USD retreats to around 0.5960 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.25% on the day, after approaching the 0.6000 level on Friday.
Australian Dollar pulls back near multi-month highs as traders await RBA Minutes
AUD/USD is pulling back to the 0.7150 region, consolidating just below its recent multi-month highs. Traders are largely focused on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Minutes due later in the Asian session.
WTI Price Forecast: 100-day SMA caps upside near $85
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil trades on the back foot on Monday after gaining more than 5% last week. The pullback comes even as the broader backdrop remains largely unchanged, with Middle East tensions elevated and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz still heavily restricted.
British Pound: Sentiment supports further gains against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report that the British Pound (GBP) is flat versus the Dollar but outperforming G10 peers despite broad USD strength. With data light, attention turns to PM Burnham’s visit to Kiev and the October 28 budget.
United States: Spending and inflation outlook – Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo Economics, led by Tom Porcelli and colleagues, expects July consumer spending to rise modestly, with nominal Personal Income up 0.3% and spending up 0.2%. They highlight fading support from tax refunds, leaving demand more reliant on income growth.
Copper: AI-driven demand reshapes pricing – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Commodity Compass Analytics team, led by Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem, argues that Copper has been increasingly driven by AI-related demand, arbitrage flows and US trade policy since February 2025.
Japanese Yen slips as US Dollar stabilizes, US PCE in focus
USD/JPY edges higher on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) finds some stability following last week’s sharp volatility, with geopolitical developments back in focus as the United States prepares to widen secondary sanctions against Iran.
Canadian Dollar: Trade shock weighs against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is the main G10 underperformer after US/Canada trade talks collapsed. Ottawa’s pledge to respond to tariffs and provide domestic aid raises uncertainty for Canadian businesses.
Federal Reserve: Jackson Hole communication focus – Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo Economics argues that Jackson Hole is often overhyped, with only a couple of truly consequential speeches in the past 14 years.
Bank of Canada: Rates seen on hold then higher – TD Securities
TD Securities expects the Bank of Canada to maintain the Overnight Rate at 2.25% through 2026, despite headline CPI near the top of its target range.
US President Trump announces tariffs on Canadian autos, trucks and steel
United States (US) President Donald Trump has announced a sharp escalation in the trade fight with Canada, declaring that beginning January 1, 2027, the United States will raise tariffs to 50% on all cars, trucks, automotive parts, and steel imported from its northern neighbor.
US Dollar: Weakness may stabilize as US growth advantage persists - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the Treasury’s buyback announcement initially pushed longer-term Treasuries lower, weakened the Dollar and boosted Gold. He argues the USD slump should stabilize this week, with the US growth advantage offsetting fiscal concerns.
Canadian Dollar slides as Trump escalates trade war with Canada
USD/CAD extends its advance on Monday, trading around 1.3830 at the time of writing, up 0.52% on the day.