Market News
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Japanese Yen: Weakness and intervention risks persist against US Dollar – HSBC
HSBC strategists argue that the USD/JPY pair is trading near its highest level in around 40 years and may have shifted into a new, higher range.
WTI Oil falls as oversupply concerns outweigh recent rebound
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $68.30 at the time of writing on Monday, down 0.64% on the day, as investors continue to assess the global supply outlook following the latest production decisions by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+).
Euro remains depressed against British Pound despite positive Eurozone data
The Euro (EUR) remains depressed near one-year lows against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, hitting session lows below 0.8560 after pulling back from Friday’s highs at 0.8575.
Euro: Choppy range outlook against US Dollar – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that EUR/USD recently fell below its prior 1‑month forecast of 1.15, prompting a reassessment of projections.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD struggles to extend recovery above 20-day EMA
Gold price (XAU/USD) is down 0.8% to near $4,140 during the European trading session on Monday. The precious metal faces selling pressure as the three-day rally hits a pause after failing to extend above $4,202.
British Pound: Sterling strength on positioning and flows – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes that Sterling has been the strongest G10 currency since the Makerfield by-election, helped by a still-sizeable but reduced speculative short base.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Aiming for the 0.8065 area amid wide US Dollar strength
The Swiss Franc (CHF) pares recent gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as fresh frictions in the Middle East are dampening investors’ appetite for risk in an otherwise calm market session.
New Zealand Dollar declines on weaker commodity prices, RBNZ policy uncertainty
NZD/USD trades around 0.5680 at the time of writing, down 0.50% on the day as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains under pressure against a stronger US Dollar (USD).
Japanese Yen: Policy risks support higher yields – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has weakened again, pushing USD/JPY back above 162.00 and coinciding with further selling at the long end of the JGB curve.
Fed Holds in June, Dot Plot Signals Just One Cut for 2025
The Fed held rates steady as expected. The updated dot plot median signals only one 25 bp cut in 2025, down from three projected in March.
Gold Tops $3,150 as Geopolitical Premium Drives Record Run
Spot gold reached $3,150/oz, powered by multiple safe-haven demand drivers. The metal is up more than 18% year-to-date.
EUR/USD Slides to 1.02 as Parity Risk Returns to Headlines
Persistent eurozone data weakness dragged EUR/USD to 1.0210, bringing parity risk back into market discussions.
Brent Climbs to $88 as OPEC+ Compliance Reportedly Improves
Independent data showed OPEC+ major member compliance rising to 91%. Brent crude climbed to $88, a near two-month high.