Market News
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China: Stagnation to persist as growth model shifts – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao argues China’s housing market remains in structural stagnation five years after the Evergrande crisis. National prices follow an L-shaped path, with a K-shaped divergence between Tier-1 and lower-tier cities.
Mexican Peso tumbles as Iran war jitters, denting Peso’s appetite
The Mexican Peso loses traction against the Greenback, dropping over 0.65% during Friday’s North American session as the American currency benefits due to its safe-haven appeal as the US-Iran conflict is far from ending, despite holding talks to finish the war.
Japanese Yen: Verbal intervention fails to move JPY against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/JPY is little changed despite strong verbal intervention from Finance Minister Katayama, who warned of decisive action at any time. Markets remain unimpressed, given repeated rhetoric and limited impact from actual Yen buying.
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions down to $-30.7K from previous $-24.7K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions down to $-30.7K from previous $-24.7K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions increased to ¥-122.7K from previous ¥-123.8K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions increased to ¥-122.7K from previous ¥-123.8K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 75.7K to 62.7K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 75.7K to 62.7K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions up to £-71.3K from previous £-87.9K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions up to £-71.3K from previous £-87.9K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions fell from previous $194.2K to $186.7K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions fell from previous $194.2K to $186.7K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions climbed from previous €-16.2K to €-12.6K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions climbed from previous €-16.2K to €-12.6K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions: $-38.9K vs $-42.9K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions: $-38.9K vs $-42.9K
Singapore Dollar: Range trade holds near recent lows against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/SGD has stabilised after an earlier sell-off, with spot around 1.2905 and intraday price action expected to stay confined between nearby support and resistance.
Forecasting the coming week: ECB decision, UK inflation, and global PMIs to drive markets
The upcoming week will be dominated by the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision, United Kingdom (UK) inflation and labor market figures, and preliminary global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data.
Gold climbs as Iran war premium revives Fed hike risk
Gold edges higher by some 0.92% on Friday as the US-Iran conflict boosted energy prices, which ultimately drive inflation higher, increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might need to raise interest rates.

