Market News
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Trump declares retaliation against Iran automatic in Truth Social post
Donald Trump opened the week on Truth Social with a promise that every American soldier killed by Iran will be repaid many times over, a directive he says has been passed to Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Daniel Caine, and every leader in the military.
British Pound slips as Burnham fiscal pledge fails to lift Sterling
The Pound Sterling reverses course and turns negative on the day as Andy Burnham is named the new Prime Minister and reassures that he will stick to the fiscal rules set by the former Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, who just resigned. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3425, after hitting a daily high of 1.3481.
Dow Jones Industrial Average sits out a rally priced for a peace nobody has scheduled
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades near the 52,000 handle on Monday, down roughly 100 points, while the S&P 500 adds 0.4% and the NASDAQ Composite climbs 0.9%, with all three coming off a losing week.
Australian Dollar holds as PBOC stands firm
AUD/USD trades around the 0.7000 area on Monday, holding near recent highs after recovering from last week’s decline.
UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves resigns as Andy Burnham reshuffles cabinet
The United Kingdom entered a new period of political uncertainty after Rachel Reeves stepped down as Chancellor of the Exchequer as part of the first cabinet reshuffle led by newly appointed Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
Brent: Geopolitics support crude and cracks – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem highlight that Brent has surged as US-Iran tensions, Trump’s rhetoric and Houthi blockade threats lift risk premia. Crack spreads in Asia and US have outperformed as refined products stay tighter than crude.
Euro loses momentum as US Dollar recovers from intraday lows
EUR/USD edges lower on Monday, reversing earlier gains as markets swing between risk-on and risk-off sentiment. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1408, easing from an intraday high of 1.1449.
Japanese Yen weakens as renewed Middle East tensions lift US Dollar
USD/JPY trades around 162.55 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.10% on the day. After an initial pullback in the US Dollar (USD), the pair regains momentum as geopolitical concerns return to the forefront and support the Greenback.
Canadian Dollar: Rate divergence weighs CAD against US Dollar – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that softer Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) is lifting USD/CAD as rate divergence remains a key driver. They argue broad US Dollar (USD) strength should limit USD/CAD downside below 1.40 and see higher Oil prices as CAD-supportive on crosses but not versus USD.
LatAm FX: Carry supports resilience against US Dollar - BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu sees Latin American currencies underpinned by strong balance-of-payments positions and attractive carry, even as global equity nerves rise.
Gold swings around $4,000 as conflicting Middle East headlines drive markets
Gold (XAU/USD) trades in a volatile range on Monday as markets react to conflicting headlines from the Middle East. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,010, little changed on the day after climbing to an intra-day high of $4,040.
Australian Dollar: Carry and growth support potential rebound – HSBC
HSBC strategists argue AUD/USD has room to rise into 2027, supported by Australia’s relatively high cash and government bond yields, which make the Australian Dollar attractive on a carry basis within G10 FX.
Gold: Fed risks and Dollar strength cap upside – TD Securities
TD Securities’ commodity strategists, led by Bart Melek, note that Gold investors have sharply reduced long exposure as higher Oil prices from the US‑Iran conflict threaten recent disinflation progress.