Market News
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United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average declined to 16.5K in June 27 from previous 19.75K
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average declined to 16.5K in June 27 from previous 19.75K
Mexico Retail Sales (MoM): -0.6% (May) vs previous 0.8%
Mexico Retail Sales (MoM): -0.6% (May) vs previous 0.8%
Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) fell from previous 4.4% to 1.6% in May
Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) fell from previous 4.4% to 1.6% in May
Turkish Lira: Rising inflation expectations pressure TRY – Commerzbank
Tatha Ghose at Commerzbank highlights that Turkey’s market-based inflation expectations for 2026 and 12 months ahead have risen again, undermining confidence in disinflation.
British Pound extends losses nearing 1.3400 as markets await Burnham’s policies
The British Pound (GBP) is one of the weakest performers among major currencies, extending its reversal against the US Dollar for the fourth consecutive week.
Oil: Geopolitical premium persists as Gulf conflict escalates – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the U.S.–Iran confrontation and Houthi threats in the Red Sea are sustaining a geopolitical premium in Brent and WTI. Brent has risen toward $88 per barrel, with risks that Strait of Hormuz disruptions further tighten Oil supply.
163.00: Why the Japanese Yen is close to year-to-date lows again
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to trade on the defensive against the US Dollar (USD), lingering near year-to-date highs just below the 163.00 handle.
Gold climbs as buyers defend $4,000, hawkish Fed expectations limit upside
Gold (XAU/USD) edges higher on Tuesday as buying interest around the $4,000 psychological level supports prices, while traders assess developments in the Middle East and their potential economic fallout. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,060, up 1.30% on the day.
Canadian Dollar: Tariffs and soft CPI pressure Loonie – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is underperforming other high-beta currencies after the Trump administration announced a 50% tariff on nearly $20 billion of Canadian imports, excluding energy and some key goods.
British Pound loses momentum as fiscal and monetary headwinds mount
The British Pound (GBP) is facing a notable loss of upward momentum across major currency pairs as UK political headlines and fiscal concerns re-emerge.Â
Hungarian Forint: NBH easing path and FX pressure – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the National Bank of Hungary (NBH) to cut rates by 25bp to 5.75%, continuing its easing cycle despite recent FX and rates pressure.
Australian Dollar hits fresh monthly highs above 0.7020 as risk aversion ebbs
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is showing one of the best performances among major currencies on Tuesday, appreciating to fresh one-month highs against the US Dollar, amid hopes of a ceasefire in Iran.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD attempts Descending Triangle breakout near $4,070
Gold price (XAU/USD) is up 1.5% to near $4,067 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The precious metal outperforms as the rally in oil prices has stalled, with investors turning confident that negotiations between the United States (US) and Iran towards peace have resumed.

