Market News
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Mexico 1st half-month Inflation came in at 0.07%, below expectations (0.1%) in July
Mexico 1st half-month Inflation came in at 0.07%, below expectations (0.1%) in July
Mexico 1st half-month Core Inflation meets forecasts (0.16%) in July
Mexico 1st half-month Core Inflation meets forecasts (0.16%) in July
Euro: Recovery led by spot demand – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the Euro is stabilizing ahead of the ECB decision, with improving spot flow and hedge unwinding supporting Eurozone assets. However, forward and swaps demand remain weak, limiting conviction.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD pulls back below $4,100 weighed by higher US yields
Gold (XAU/USD) trades lower on Thursday, snapping a four-day rally.
US Dollar Index: Upside risks persist as yields climb – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that the US Dollar is holding on to most of its weekly gains as US Treasury yields remain elevated.
Gold falls as Iran war lifts Oil prices, Fed rate hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) loses ground on Thursday, snapping a four-day winning streak as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds, while the widening war in the Middle East drives Oil prices higher. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,050 after hitting a two-week high of $4,165 on Wednesday.
India M3 Money Supply: 12.5% (July 6) vs previous 13%
India M3 Money Supply: 12.5% (July 6) vs previous 13%
European Central Bank: Hawkish ECB pricing supports Euro – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG notes that Euro-zone yields have climbed to fresh year-to-date highs ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, with markets pricing 2–3 further rate hikes and almost fully discounting another move in September.
South African Rand: SARB resolve key for rand – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur sees it as almost certain that South African Reserve Bank (SARB) will hike 25 bps to 7.25%, reversing a third of its 2024–25 easing after inflation re-accelerated on fuel and core components above target.
Canadian Dollar: Retail sales set to beat consensus – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists look for Canadian Retail Sales to rise 1.1% month-on-month in May, slightly above the 1.0% consensus, driven by higher gasoline prices and a rebound in core spending.
Turkey CBRT Interest Rate Decision in line with forecasts (37%)
Turkey CBRT Interest Rate Decision in line with forecasts (37%)
British Pound holds losses below 1.3400 as PM Burnam stokes fiscal worries
The British Pound (GBP) consolidates losses below 1.3400 against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, on track for a 0.6% weekly decline, following a reversal from 1.3558 highs last week.
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Euro trims gains but holds above previous highs at 186.32
The Euro (EUR) is giving away previous gains against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, as investors position for the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision.

