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Euro holds below 1.1400 against US Dollar as Fed interest rate decision looms
EUR/USD struggles below 1.1400 on Wednesday as traders brace for the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate decision at 18:00 GMT, while the war in the Middle East fuels volatility across financial markets. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1393, little changed on the day.
United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change came in at -7.167M, below expectations (-2.5M) in July 24
United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change came in at -7.167M, below expectations (-2.5M) in July 24
Gold: Fed risk caps CTA upside – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Ryan McKay and Bart Melek note that Gold remains under pressure as markets price a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) path and renewed energy strength.
Natural gas: Europe faces tighter winter balance – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report European natural gas prices have bounced higher as Middle East tensions disrupt Qatari LNG exports. They flag QatarEnergy’s extended force majeure, reduced EU LNG imports and below-average storage levels.
Fed's Warsh: We will deliver the 2% target
At the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh explains why policymakers decided to keep interest rates unchanged after the July meeting and takes questions from reporters about the decision.
Swiss National Bank: Rates seen on prolonged hold – Commerzbank
Michael Pfister of Commerzbank argues that subdued imported inflation and low exchange rate pass-through give the Swiss National Bank (SNB) little reason to tighten policy.
Singapore Dollar: Range guidance around NEER band – UOB
UOB’s SGD NEER model shows the index at 1.68% above the midpoint of the policy band, after ending the previous session 171 basis points above it. The model is expected to remain between 1.40% and 1.90% above the midpoint today, implying a USD/SGD trading range of 1.2898–1.2963.
Trump vows fresh strikes on Iran after missiles targeting US forces are intercepted
According to Reuters, United States (US) President Donald Trump said in a phone interview with Fox News on Wednesday that the US would carry out further strikes against Iran in response to attacks targeting US positions in Jordan.
Canadian Dollar strengthens modestly against US Dollar ahead of Fed decision
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) modestly outperforms the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, drawing support from a rebound in Oil prices as the war in the Middle East intensifies again following a brief calm. At the time of writing, USD/CAD trades around 1.4093, trapped within a week-old range.
Oil: Middle East tensions revive inflation channel – BNY
BNY reports that renewed Iranian–U.S. hostilities lifted Brent above 3%, reviving the inflation channel but remaining secondary to Fed and AI valuation drivers.
Japanese Yen: Domestic investment shift could support the Yen – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) has hired active domestic bond managers for the first time in five years to improve expertise and diversification amid volatile JGB markets. The fund’s domestic bond portfolio has suffered losses despite strong overall returns.
Copper: Speculative longs rise on tight supply – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlight that speculative net long positions in LME Copper increased notably in the latest COTR data, supported by tight supply and low inventories.
WTI rebounds sharply on fears of renewed escalation in US-Iran war
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on NYMEX trades 6% higher on the day, slightly above $83.00 during the European trading session on Wednesday.