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Japanese Yen: BoJ hike underwhelms as yields drive JPY against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened after the BoJ’s 25 bp hike to 1.25% as limited guidance on further normalisation disappointed hawkish expectations.
Experts agree: Further US Dollar’s upside hinges on upcoming data and not hawkish Fed prospects
The US Dollar (USD) trades slightly higher on Monday as traders remain confident that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will hike interest rates again this year. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.1% higher to near 100.30.
Silver price edges up as lower Oil, guarded Fed stance temper upside
Silver (XAG/USD) starts the week on a positive note, gaining 0.37% on Monday to trade around $66.50 at the time of writing. The precious metal manages to advance despite a stable US Dollar (USD), with the US Dollar Index (DXY) trading virtually unchanged around 100.25.
EUR/USD Price Forecasts: Bears remain in control with 1.1450 support eyed
The Euro (EUR) is consolidating last week’s decline against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with price action capped below 1.1500 and the seven-week low in the mid 1.1400s still on the bears’ radar.
Mexican Peso: Sideways range against US Dollar intact – Rabobank
Rabobank's Christian Lawrence and Molly Schwartz expect USD/MXN to trade broadly between 17 and 18 over the next 12 months. They see room for both Fed and Banxico rate expectations to be repriced, with the timing of those adjustments likely to drive near-term volatility.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Momentum stabilizes, but lacks bullish conviction
GBP/JPY edges higher on Monday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure across the board in thin trading conditions. Japanese markets are closed until Wednesday for the country’s Silver Week holidays.
India Infrastructure Output (YoY) fell from previous 5.4% to 4.8% in August
India Infrastructure Output (YoY) fell from previous 5.4% to 4.8% in August
Brent: Diesel signals higher prices – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem highlight a sharp divergence between physical Brent and futures, with Dated Brent trading at a substantial premium. They note that Diesel strength implies Brent should be above $150/bbl to restore historical refining economics.
New Zealand Dollar wavers near two-month lows despite a brighter market mood
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) languishes just above two-and-a-half-month lows against the US Dollar (USD), despite a somewhat brighter market mood, as a sustained reversal in Oil prices has eased risk aversion on Monday.
Gold: Range-bound outlook with Fed headwinds – ING
ING’s commodities team reports Gold eased as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike since 2023 and guidance for prolonged restrictive policy. They stress that higher rates remain a headwind, but ETF holdings at six‑month highs and ongoing central bank buying should cushion downside.
Fed’s Goolsbee: Demand, tariffs, energy, supply shocks all are fuelling inflation
Chicago Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank President Austan Goolsbee said at an Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum event on Monday that various factors including strong demand, tariffs, energy and supply shocks are fuelling United States (US) inflationary pressures.
Gold struggles near $4,350 as hawksih Fed outlook supports the Greenback
Gold (XAU/USD) remains on the defensive on Monday, pausing a two-day winning streak as expectations of additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes and a firmer US Dollar (USD) limit the upside.
Australian Dollar edges higher on renewed RBA hike bets ahead of Bullock, jobs data
AUD/USD edges higher on Monday, trading around 0.7130 at the time of writing, up 0.06% on the day. The Australian Dollar (AUD) benefits mainly from strengthening expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) could raise interest rates again at its monetary policy meeting next week.