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Kiwi nears 0.5800 as RBNZ tightening hopes offset risk aversion
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) retraced previous losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday and trades higher for the fourth consecutive day, approaching three-week highs near 0.5800.
Gold declines as renewed US-Iran hostilities boost Oil prices, Fed rate hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on the back foot as renewed tensions in the Middle East lift Oil prices and bring inflation concerns back into focus, reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike later this year.
Swiss Franc: ECB support limits gains against euro – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses EUR/CHF performance since the Iran war, noting that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has intervened to counter safe haven inflows while the European Central Bank’s (ECB) hawkish stance has supported the Euro (EUR).
Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP pressures PLN against Euro – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky says Central and Eastern European FX will be driven by secondary data and policy expectations. A dovish National Bank of Poland stance and market pricing of future rate cuts are seen weighing on the Zloty, with ING’s models pointing EUR/PLN closer to 4.340.
India’s retail CPI rises strongly by 4.38% in June, beats 4.3% estimates
India’s retail Consumer Price Index (CPI) rises at an annualized pace of 4.38% in June, stronger than 4.3% estimates and the previous reading of 3.93%.
Australian Dollar: Momentum fades into sideways band against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that AUD/USD has been range‑trading slightly higher than expected, with intraday levels seen between 0.6920 and 0.6960. The earlier tentative upside momentum has faded, and for the next 1–3 weeks the pair is expected to trade between 0.6890 and 0.6975.
Indian Rupee: Range-bound trade risks around CPI – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that India’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) release will be important for bond markets, with the 10-year IGB yield holding near its 200-day moving average around 6.71%.
British Pound: Gilt confidence and new leadership – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that United Kingdom (UK) assets, including the British Pound (GBP) and gilts, will react more to the choice of chancellor under incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham than to the leadership change itself.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Wavers around 0.6950 with bearish momentum fading
The Australian Dollar (AUD) posts marginal losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as the pair's reversal from Friday's 0.6970 highs found support above 0.6120. Rising tensions in Iran have hammered risk appetite, but the US Dollar’s weakness is keeping the Aussie from retreating further.
Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Monday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $58.72 per troy ounce, down 1.92% from the $59.87 it cost on Friday.
Oil: Markets price renewed Hormuz risks – Rabobank
Rabobank strategist Michael Every discusses rising geopolitical risks around the Strait of Hormuz after the apparent collapse of a US-Iran memorandum of understanding. Every notes both sides are now striking each other, with United States (US) strategy shifting to escorted energy flows.
US Dollar: Higher energy supports Fed tightening – ING
ING analysts Chris Turner, Frantisek Taborsky and Francesco Pesole note that higher energy prices and tensions in the Gulf are supporting the Dollar against low-yielding currencies. They highlight that US energy independence and live Fed tightening prospects underpin Dollar strength.
Euro recovers early losses against Canadian Dollar, BoC policy eyed
The Euro (EUR) claws back its early losses and turns slightly positive at around 1.6170 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) during the European trading session on Monday. The cross bounces back as the Euro strengthens amid hopes that the ongoing aggression in the Middle East won’t be prolonged.