Market News
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New Zealand Dollar advances as US labor market weakness pressures USD
NZD/USD trades around 0.5890 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.36% on the day.
Canada: Gradual improvement with tariff risks – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Nathan Janzen reports that Canada’s labour market strengthened in July, with a 75k employment gain following robust increases in May and June and a decline in the unemployment rate to 6.4%.
Australian Dollar climbs near two-month highs as NFP turns negative
The AUD/USD pair surged to its highest in nearly two months past 0.7070 earlier on Friday, following the release of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. The move owes nothing to Australia.
NY Fed inflation expectations ease modestly in the short term
The New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations shows that households’ inflation expectations decreased slightly over the short-term horizon and remained unchanged at the medium and longer-term horizons. One-year inflation expectations eased from 3.7% in June to 3.6% in July
Natural Gas: Higher price forecasts on LNG squeeze – Commerzbank
Norman Liebke at Commerzbank has revised Gas and German power price forecasts higher, citing tighter European storage, increased reliance on LNG and structural constraints on Qatari exports. The phase-out of Russian Gas from 2027 adds upside risk.
US Dollar: Payrolls-driven consolidation as CPI looms – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that the US Dollar (USD) weakened after the disappointing July Payrolls report, but see limited downside against G10 currencies unless softer US inflation further reduces Fed hike expectations.
Federal Reserve: Fed focus shifts to jobs – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO’s Chief Economist Nick Kounis highlights renewed US labour market weakness, with Nonfarm Payrolls falling and household employment data softening. He notes the unemployment rate declined as labour force participation dropped to multi-decade lows, signalling cyclical weakness.
Swiss Franc gains against US Dollar after surprise decline in US payrolls
USD/CHF edges lower on Friday, erasing most of the previous day’s gains as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following a downside surprise in the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8080, down 0.53% on the day.
Canada: Labour market resilience supports cautious Bank of Canada – NBC
National Bank of Canada (NBC) economists Matthieu Arseneau and Alexandra Ducharme highlight robust Canadian labour data for July, with 75.1K jobs added, a lower unemployment rate and stronger private-sector hiring.
Gold: Discretionary demand keeps bulls in control - TD Securities
TD Securities strategists Ryan McKay and Bart Melek highlight that strong discretionary and Asian buying is supporting Gold, even as CTA (Commodity Trading Advisors) positioning has plateaued.
Canadian Dollar jumps after North American jobs double surprise
USD/CAD declines sharply on Friday, trading around 1.3940 at the time of writing, down 0.53% on the day, hitting its lowest level since June.
United States Dollar Index tumbles as NFP shock trims Fed hike bets
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s value against a basket of six currencies, is down 0.36% to 99.58 following a weaker-than-expected US jobs report. The DXY hit 99.41 after the jobs report release, its lowest level since June 15.
Brent: Volatile path as Hormuz risk lingers – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch sees continued volatility in Brent as Strait of Hormuz negotiations remain unresolved and inventories tighten.