Market News
Stay on top of the major news, data and analysis moving forex and global financial markets.
EUR/USD: Lagarde’s dovish tilt weighs on Euro – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING says EUR/USD downside risks have increased after dovish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde, which widened SOFR-ESTR spreads and tempered expectations for an October ECB hike.
AUD/USD: RBA hike fails to lift Aussie – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG highlights that the Australian Dollar has slipped back below 0.7000 against the US Dollar, testing the 200-day moving average near 0.7030.
US Treasuries: Yields near multi-decade highs – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analysts describe a renewed selloff in US Treasuries, with the 10-year yield around 5.25%, close to its 2007 peak and highest levels since 2002 if breached.
USD: Data risks support Dollar gains – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes fading optimism on US–Iran talks and rising Oil prices are reinforcing support for the Dollar, with Brent near $107 and equities at risk from rapidly rising rates. He sees upcoming US consumer confidence and JOLTS data as key for Dollar direction.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD recovery beyond $61.00 faces selling risk
Silver (XAG/USD) registers a modest recovery from the $60.30 area, or the lowest level since August 5, touched earlier this Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through.
Brent Oil: Higher prices to extend into 2027 – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen and Jim Reid highlight that Brent Oil has surged again, with spot prices above $107 per barrel and December 2027 futures at new highs.
AUD/USD: RBA hike fails to lift Australian Dollar – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole reports the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised rates to 4.60% as expected, but AUD/USD fell below 0.700 as Governor Michele Bullock revealed policymakers had considered holding rates due to housing and global risks.
Swiss Franc languishes at 16-month lows despite bright KOF leading Indicators data
The Swiss Franc (CHF) extends losses for the fifth consecutive day against a firm US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, unfazed by the unexpected improvement in the KOF leading Indicator report seen earlier in the day.
Swiss Franc: One-off export surge tempers SNB response – Commerzbank
Michael Pfister at Commerzbank notes that Switzerland’s strong 1.9% quarter-on-quarter growth was driven mainly by net exports, particularly to the Euro area excluding Germany, rather than a broad-based domestic upswing.
S&P 500: Higher yields pressure equities – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid notes that rising US yields and Oil prices are weighing on equities. The S&P 500 fell nearly 0.8%, led by larger declines in the Magnificent 7, while defensive sectors such as consumer staples and healthcare posted modest gains.
US Dollar: Stock-driven flows raise vulnerability – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur highlights that the US current account deficit remains large at about 3% of GDP and increasingly relies on foreign inflows into US stocks rather than bonds.
Forex Today: US Dollar holds ground, markets await comments from Fed officials and US data
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, September 29:
Spain Consumer Price Index (YoY) above expectations (4.7%) in September: Actual (4.9%)
Spain Consumer Price Index (YoY) above expectations (4.7%) in September: Actual (4.9%)