Oil: War risk and supply chains – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior Market Strategist Benjamin Picton notes that Brent and WTI have reacted only modestly to renewed United States (US)-Iran tensions, with Brent holding near $105 and WTI below $100.

Oil
Gold: Path higher hinges on Fed easing – ING

ING’s Commodities Strategist Ewa Manthey explains why Gold has dropped about 12% since the Iran conflict began, despite its reputation as a safe haven. She argues the move reflects macro headwinds from higher Oil prices, stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated real yields.

ECB: June hike call challenged by data path – TD Securities

TD Securities economists diverge from consensus by expecting the European Central Bank (ECB) to hold rates in June. They stress the absence of clear second-round effects, anchored inflation expectations, and softening confidence and growth.