ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 26K

Private-sector hiring in the US has added extra momentum in mid-March. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 26K jobs per week in the four weeks ending March 21.

AUD/NZD: Diverging flows and policy risks – BNY

BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage highlights a growing divergence between the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and Australian Dollar (AUD) as markets favor currencies backed by real assets.

Aluminium: Gulf outages tighten global balance – ING

ING analysts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson report that Aluminium supply risks have intensified after Iranian attacks on Emirates Global Aluminium’s Al Taweelah smelter and Aluminium Bahrain’s plant.

AUD: Energy shock threatens fragile consumption – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts highlight a record monthly rise in the Melbourne Institute Inflation Gauge, pushing headline and trimmed mean inflation to their highest non-COVID levels since 2008. At the same time, Australian household spending growth is modest and momentum is slowing.

DXY: Energy shock keeps Dollar bid – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that a prolonged energy shock from the Iran conflict heightens financial stability risks and supports the Dollar beyond what rate differentials imply.