INR: RBI tightens NDF access to shield rupee – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao discusses new Reserve Bank of India (RBI) measures aimed at defending the Indian Rupee (INR). The RBI has barred banks from offering rupee NDF contracts to residents and offshore users while keeping deliverable hedging channels open.

CNY: Gradual gains versus Dollar – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur expects the Chinese Yuan (CNY) to edge higher against the US Dollar (USD) while staying undervalued versus most other currencies. The bank projects USD/CNY at 6.90 by June 2026 and 6.70 by late 2027, with EUR/CNY broadly stable.

Canada: Trade deficit surge and 2026 outlook – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts note Canada’s trade deficit widened sharply in February to CAD 5.7 billion, far above expectations, as both exports and imports jumped. They highlight one-off Gold imports, stronger equipment and consumer goods demand, and surging motor vehicle exports.

TRY: Lira seen on steady depreciation despite CPI – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose argues that upcoming Turkish CPI data are largely obsolete given the looming impact of higher energy prices. He expects a strong March monthly print but stresses that external-shock inflation may be treated as transient by FX markets.