TRY: Fragile as oil shock worsens outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose argues that Turkey’s brief disinflation respite is already obsolete as higher Oil prices and external shocks dominate. Headline CPI slowed in March, but core dynamics remain strong and credibility concerns persist.

Oil
GBP/USD climbs as Middle East ceasefire hopes ease fresh fears

The Pound Sterling (GBP) rises by over 0.20% against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday amid speculation of a ceasefire agreement, but newswires revealed that the chances of a deal are far, increasing the likelihood of a US attack as Donald Trump’s deadline approaches.

USD/JPY nears 160 as Trump hints at nuclear war

The USD/JPY pair is trading near the 159.95 price region with a strong but volatile tone on Tuesday, as markets react to a sharp escalation in the ongoing conflict between Israel, the United States (US and Iran.

3.4% in 12 months: what are US consumers bracing for?

The Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York's Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) for March showed one-year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 3.4%, up 0.4 percentage points from February's 3.0% reading.

EUR/USD gains as Trump’s Iran deadline approaches

The Euro (EUR) rises against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, as the Greenback softens amid cautious market sentiment ahead of a deadline set by US President Donald Trump for Iran to reach a deal or open the Strait of Hormuz.

US: Oil shock complicates Fed path – MUFG

MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny argues that rising Oil and gasoline prices from the Middle East conflict are set to push US inflation higher, with March CPI expected to jump. He highlights a sharp rise in ISM Services prices paid and weakening employment indices.

Gold: Range-bound trade with upside skew – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Eugene Leow notes that Gold has stayed relatively stable despite conflicting geopolitical news, including a potential ceasefire and renewed threats around the Strait of Hormuz.