United States Existing Home Sales (MoM) registered at 4.02M, below expectations (4.05M) in April
United States Existing Home Sales (MoM) registered at 4.02M, below expectations (4.05M) in April
British Pound: Growth slowdown and BoE tightening – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas economists expect United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow to 0.7% in 2026 from 1.4% in 2025, with quarterly expansion dropping to about 0.1%. Inflation is projected to re-accelerate to 3.6% before easing only slightly.
US: CPI inflation pulse and Fed path – TD Securities
TD Securities economists expect US inflation data to firm in April, with core Consumer Price Index (CPI) boosted by shelter and airfare components and headline CPI lifted by higher Oil and food prices.
Hungarian Forint: Rally against Euro seen extending – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky says Central and Eastern European (CEE) FX is benefiting from positive global sentiment, with EUR/HUF breaking to new lows below 355. Markets expect Hungary’s new Prime Minister Peter Magyar to unlock EU funds and advance Euro adoption.
Japanese Yen : Intervention support and rate path – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses the Japanese Yen (JPY), noting that expected endorsement from the United States (US) Treasury for recent Ministry of Finance (MoF) FX intervention should support the currency in the near term.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Buyers retain control above 200-day SMA
GBP/USD recovers some ground after opening the week with a bearish gap as geopolitical headlines surrounding the Middle East continue to stir volatility across financial markets.
Canadian Dollar steadies as Middle East Oil shock caps US Dollar rebound
USD/CAD trades on a flat note around 1.3670 on Monday, down modestly by 0.05% on the day at the time of writing.
Norwegian Krone: Norges Bank’s surprise hike and risk support – HSBC
HSBC reports that the Norwegian Krone (NOK) has gained alongside other risk-on currencies versus the Dollar, supported by improved sentiment and domestic policy.
US Dollar Index: DXY supported by peace deadlock and NFP – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar (USD) has rebounded, lifting the Dollar Index (DXY) back above 98.000 as stalled Middle East peace talks and a stronger April Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report underpin demand.
Eurozone: Higher inflation and ECB hikes projected – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas economists project Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth slowing from 1.5% in 2025 to 1.0% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027, with inflation rebounding to 3.0% and 3.3%. Activity is expected to withstand the energy shock thanks to investment in defence, AI and electrification.
British Pound: Resilient against US Dollar despite election shock – Commerzbank
Commerzbank reports that GBP/USD advanced despite a major United Kingdom (UK) political shock from local elections. Labour suffered heavy council losses while Reform UK and the Greens gained ground, underscoring a more fragmented political landscape.
Euro: Gains capped against US Dollar by weak data – ING
ING’s Chris Turner says EUR/USD has held up thanks to a softer Dollar and strong Asian AI-related risk sentiment, but Eurozone activity data remain weak. He argues that expectations for European Central Bank (ECB) hikes this summer are preventing a drop toward 1.15.