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Federal Reserve: Market mispricing risk into blackout – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Molly Brooks analyzes how US rates markets are pricing the September Federal Reserve meeting, highlighting unusually high uncertainty around a potential hold or 25bp hike.
Forex Today: US Dollar retreats as markets gear up for key events
Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, September 9:
European Central Bank: Further hikes risk skewed to upside – Nomura
Nomura strategists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise rates this week, taking the depo rate to 2.50%, and to keep it there for the foreseeable future.
Euro remains steady against British Pound Gains due to ECB rate hike bets
EUR/GBP remains steady after experiencing volatility, hovering around 0.8580 during European hours on Wednesday. However, the currency cross may gain ground as the Euro (EUR) could receive support ahead of the looming European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy decision.
Polish Zloty: Rate cuts seen off table through year-end – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects Poland’s NBP to leave rates unchanged at 3.75% and sees the key question as whether the MPC formally drops earlier dovish language.
Equities: Broad US pullback as tech limits losses - Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note a broad-based decline in US equities, with the S&P 500 down 0.58% and more than 70% of its constituents lower.
Experts agree: Faster BoJ tightening prospects fuel Japanese Yen’s remarkable surge
The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades firmly against its major currency peers this week. The USD/JPY pair is down 0.63% in the European trading session on Wednesday and 1.85% so far this week at around 153.00.
Indonesian Rupiah strengthens amid rising consumer confidence, weaker US Dollar
USD/IDR extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 17,570 during the early European hours on Wednesday.
Euro nudges up above 1.1640 amid broad-based US Dollar weakness
The Euro (EUR) attempts to resume its uptrend against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday’s early European session despite the risk-off mood and the high Crude prices.
Slovakia Industrial Output (YoY) above expectations (1%) in July: Actual (2.4%)
Slovakia Industrial Output (YoY) above expectations (1%) in July: Actual (2.4%)
Japanese Yen: Focus on strength and BoJ path – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan highlights ongoing strength in the Japanese Yen, with recent USD/JPY volatility seeing the pair drop toward 152.88 before stabilizing near 153.26.
France Industrial Output (MoM) registered at -0.4%, below expectations (0.3%) in July
France Industrial Output (MoM) registered at -0.4%, below expectations (0.3%) in July
British Pound dips to 207.50 as Japanese Yen rallies, unfazed by Oil prices
The British Pound (GBP) extends losses on Wednesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) rallies across the board, with investors bracing for a quarter-point rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) at next week’s monetary policy meeting.

