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Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) below expectations (0.2%) in August: Actual (0.1%)
Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) below expectations (0.2%) in August: Actual (0.1%)
Canada Manufacturing Sales (MoM) registered at -0.4%, below expectations (-0.2%) in July
Canada Manufacturing Sales (MoM) registered at -0.4%, below expectations (-0.2%) in July
New Zealand Dollar extends losses as US Dollar strengthens on Fed bets
NZD/USD extends its decline on Monday, trading around 0.5770 at the time of writing, down 0.72% on the day.
Japanese Yen: Policy-regime shift backs JPY against US Dollar – DBS
Philip Wee at DBS Group Research highlights a growing policy-regime change advantage for the Japanese Yen (JPY) versus the US Dollar (USD). Following joint US-Japan intervention and expectations of further Bank of Japan (BoJ) tightening, speculators have unwound short JPY positions.
British Pound: BoE hold, slower QT and dovish repricing risk – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Bank of England (BoE) to keep its policy rate at 3.75% with a likely 6–3 vote, as easing United Kingdom (UK) wage and services inflation allow a pause.
Japanese Yen trims gains with Fed and BoJ decisions looming
The Japanese Yen (JPY) holds moderate losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, but remains close to seven-month highs, following a 4% rally in the previous two weeks.
Czech Koruna: Dovish CNB may weaken CZK against Euro - ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky outlines a busy Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) data calendar but stresses that the Czech National Bank (CNB) meeting is the key event. He expects rates to stay at 3.75% with dovish guidance, contrasting with still-hawkish market pricing.
Federal Reserve: Rate hike path and data support – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid and team say the Fed’s decision on Wednesday is the main market event, with their economists expecting a 25bp hike to 3.75%-4.00% and now forecasting 75bps of hikes over the next seven months.
ECB’s Schnabel: Recent energy-price developments have been quite concerning
European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said recent energy-price developments have been "quite concerning" as officials consider further interest-rate increases after last week’s move, Bloomberg reported.
Fed to raise interest rates to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16 – Reuters poll
According to a Reuters poll, the survey on September 9 showed that 86 of 101 economists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hike interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16. This is a dramatic shift from 65 of 93 economists expecting a hold in the previous poll.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: US Dollar gains momentum and targets 1.3940 area
US Dollar (USD) appreciates for the fourth consecutive day against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) on Monday, as rising bets of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike on Wednesday offset the traditional positive impact of higher Oil prices on the Canadian Dollar.
British Pound: Downside pressure persists against US Dollar - UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes GBP/USD rebounded from 1.3479 to close at 1.3535 after an overdone drop, with intraday price action expected to consolidate between 1.3485 and 1.3540.
Japanese Yen: BoJ guidance crucial for further gains against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong notes that JPY has extended gains, pushing USD/JPY near recent lows despite firmer Fed hike pricing and higher US front-end yields. Markets are positioned for a 25bp Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike, with speculative positioning now net long JPY.