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Euro: ECB credibility may offer support against Dollar – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee argues that the Euro has a subtle advantage over the Dollar this week, as the European Central Bank’s recent hikes and focus on inflation underscore its institutional credibility.
Canadian Dollar remains under pressure following mixed inflation data
USD/CAD edges higher for the fourth consecutive day on Monday as a stronger US Dollar (USD) outweighs support for the Canadian Dollar (CAD) from rising Oil prices. Traders show a muted reaction to the latest Canadian inflation figures.
Sweden: Election uncertainty and fiscal stance – Nomura
Nomura’s Global Markets Research team, led by Josie Anderson, George Buckley and Andrzej Szczepaniak, notes that Sweden’s 13 September election remains too close to call, with the centre-left only narrowly ahead.
Federal Reserve: Inflation keeps pressure on – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists note that August US CPI data were broadly in line with expectations but still too high for the Federal Reserve. They stress excessive underlying price pressure and say the Fed has already signaled readiness to hike.
Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM) remains unchanged at 0.2% in August
Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM) remains unchanged at 0.2% in August
Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) rose from previous 2.3% to 2.4% in August
Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) rose from previous 2.3% to 2.4% in August
Canada Consumer Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (0%) in August: Actual (-0.1%)
Canada Consumer Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (0%) in August: Actual (-0.1%)
Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) in line with expectations (3%) in August
Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) in line with expectations (3%) in August
Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) below expectations (0.2%) in August: Actual (0.1%)
Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) below expectations (0.2%) in August: Actual (0.1%)
Canada Manufacturing Sales (MoM) registered at -0.4%, below expectations (-0.2%) in July
Canada Manufacturing Sales (MoM) registered at -0.4%, below expectations (-0.2%) in July
New Zealand Dollar extends losses as US Dollar strengthens on Fed bets
NZD/USD extends its decline on Monday, trading around 0.5770 at the time of writing, down 0.72% on the day.
Japanese Yen: Policy-regime shift backs JPY against US Dollar – DBS
Philip Wee at DBS Group Research highlights a growing policy-regime change advantage for the Japanese Yen (JPY) versus the US Dollar (USD). Following joint US-Japan intervention and expectations of further Bank of Japan (BoJ) tightening, speculators have unwound short JPY positions.
British Pound: BoE hold, slower QT and dovish repricing risk – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Bank of England (BoE) to keep its policy rate at 3.75% with a likely 6–3 vote, as easing United Kingdom (UK) wage and services inflation allow a pause.