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Hungarian Forint: Key 360 area supports consolidation against Euro – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts describe EUR/HUF as consolidating above the 360 area after an interim low near 348 in June. The pair is capped by the 200-day moving average at 370/371, with a breakout above this zone needed to confirm a larger up-move.
Japanese Yen: Overbought rally faces 158.40 cap – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY remains supported after testing the 157.30 area, with short-term price action expected to stay within a 156.90–157.80 range.
South African Rand: SARB hike and hawkish tone – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur expects the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to deliver a 25 basis point rate hike after surprising markets by holding rates in July.
Hungarian Forint: NBH stance supports carry appeal – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the National Bank of Hungary to pause its mini easing cycle at 5.50% and possibly outline a two-step cut in its inflation target from 3.0% to 2.0%.
New Zealand Dollar: Hawkish RBNZ pricing supports kiwi – MUFG
MUFG's Lee Hardman highlights the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) as the main overnight mover, boosted by hawkish guidance from Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Breman. Her comments on higher Oil-driven inflation have reinforced expectations for a third consecutive 25 bps hike next month.
Belgium Consumer Confidence Index fell from previous -7 to -10 in September
Belgium Consumer Confidence Index fell from previous -7 to -10 in September
Australian Dollar: Consolidation continues below resistance against US Dollar - UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann see AUD/USD consolidating around 0.7120 after a brief spike to 0.7140. Intraday price action is viewed as part of a 0.7105–0.7135 range.
Euro hits fresh seven-week lows as German political uncertainty offsets risk-on mood
The Euro (EUR) is failing to draw any support from the moderate risk appetite triggered by the recent pullback in Oil prices and extends losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, hitting fresh seven-week lows below 1.1450.
Federal Reserve: Hiking path constrained by supply shocks – BNY
John Velis at BNY Markets argues that current US inflation is being driven by non-rate-sensitive components of core PCE, limiting how effective further Federal Reserve tightening can be.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Rises to near 158.00 near 50-day EMA
USD/JPY gains ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 157.70 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency pair is consolidating after the recent pullback while remaining capped by the medium-term trend filter.
Forex Today: Geopolitical uncertainty keeps markets on edge
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, September 22:
British Pound: BoE pricing keeps rangebound against Euro – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes EUR/GBP has held a tight 0.855–0.860 range since early September after a Bank of England (BoE) meeting that did not strongly challenge aggressive market tightening expectations.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Bulls retain control near August 6 highs, just below mid-1.4000s
The USD/CAD pair extends its consolidative price move through the early European session on Tuesday, trading below 1.4050, or the highest since August 6, amid mixed fundamental cues.