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Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP tone risks downside – ING
ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak argue that reduced prospects of further tightening by the European Central Bank (ECB) and Federal Reserve (Fed) should ease external pressure on the Zloty.
United States Redbook Index (YoY): 11.5% (July 3) vs 10.5%
United States Redbook Index (YoY): 11.5% (July 3) vs 10.5%
Japanese Yen: Fiscal unease and BoJ path – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the Japanese Yen (JPY) has firmed slightly, pulling USD/JPY back from 162.18 to 161.68, as comments from Growth Strategy Minister Minoru Kiuichi attempt to calm fiscal worries.
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance above expectations ($-78B) in May: Actual ($-77.6B)
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance above expectations ($-78B) in May: Actual ($-77.6B)
Canada International Merchandise Trade registered at $4.24B above expectations ($2.7B) in May
Canada International Merchandise Trade registered at $4.24B above expectations ($2.7B) in May
Canada Imports climbed from previous $72.44B to $72.86B in May
Canada Imports climbed from previous $72.44B to $72.86B in May
Canada Exports up to $77.1B in May from previous $75.16B
Canada Exports up to $77.1B in May from previous $75.16B
Euro: ECB support limited by spreads – NBC
National Bank of Canada ’s (NBC) Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms note the Euro (EUR) fell toward 1.13 in June despite a more hawkish European Central Bank (ECB), underscoring that EUR/USD remains driven by relative rates.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ seen starting rate hikes – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy decision as the key domestic event, with a first 25 bps hike to 2.50% expected.
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average down to 21K in June 13 from previous 30.75K
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average down to 21K in June 13 from previous 30.75K
Japanese Yen: Inflation curve debate shapes outlook – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses the Japanese Yen’s (JPY) recent strength and questions whether the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is truly behind the inflation curve.
Hungarian Forint: Dovish inflation path supports more cuts – ING
Frantisek Taborsky at ING highlights Hungarian inflation falling to 1.7%, below market and National Bank of Hungary (NBH) forecasts, cementing rate cuts in July and August. Markets price around 150bp of easing and a 4.50% terminal rate, with scope for additional cuts.
Euro: Upside bias held above strong support against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang reports EUR/USD holding near 1.1440 with a firmer underlying tone. The pair is expected to trade slightly higher in a 1.1425–1.1470 range intraday.