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United States Retail Sales (MoM) meets expectations (0.2%) in June
United States Retail Sales (MoM) meets expectations (0.2%) in June
United States Initial Jobless Claims came in at 208K below forecasts (217K) in July 10
United States Initial Jobless Claims came in at 208K below forecasts (217K) in July 10
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average down to 214.25K in July 10 from previous 218.75K
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average down to 214.25K in July 10 from previous 218.75K
Canadian Dollar: BoC hold and guidance shift – TD Securities
TD Securities notes the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept its policy rate at 2.25% and softened guidance by removing references to both rate-cut risks and consecutive hikes. Markets interpreted the statement as mildly dovish, but prior moves limited volatility.
Canada Housing Starts s.a (YoY) below expectations (258K) in June: Actual (239K)
Canada Housing Starts s.a (YoY) below expectations (258K) in June: Actual (239K)
European Central Bank: Hawkish hold bias – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen expects the ECB to keep the deposit rate at 2.25% in July, judging a hike as a tail risk that would require a much stronger energy shock.
United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) dipped from previous 0.933% to 0.4% in June
United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) dipped from previous 0.933% to 0.4% in June
Euro: Policy divergence and carry flows – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu says iFlow Carry is beginning to resemble its 2023 upswing. Neutral positioning in carry currencies, including those funded in the dollar, leaves room for exposures to rebuild. G10 FX attracted broad inflows, while EM FX selling was led by HUF, ZAR and KRW.
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) came in at 0.1%, below expectations (0.5%) in May
Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) came in at 0.1%, below expectations (0.5%) in May
British Pound: Shorts on the run – ING
ING’s Chris Turner highlights a powerful short squeeze in Sterling, triggered by reports that Shabana Mahmood could become Andy Burnham’s chancellor, a choice seen as less fiscally expansive.
Canadian Dollar: BoC on hold and hikes priced out – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports USD/CAD is consolidating losses after benign United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data, with the Bank of Canada (BoC) leaving its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% for a sixth meeting.
Japanese Yen: Mixed range trade outlook against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY has seen a slight increase in downward momentum, pointing to a lower intraday range around 161.70–162.30.
British Pound rallies to multi-month highs on reports of Mahmood appointment
The British Pound (GBP) has staged a broad-based rally across major currency pairs, hitting multi-month highs against both the US Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR).